New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 10, 2026

FINAL+2NYY

NYY

11-6

PHI

5-11-1

BayCare Ballpark · Clearwater, Florida

9,332 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.4%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHI vs NYY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cristopher SanchezPHI
7.6± 3.3medium
Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Jesus LuzardoPHI
6.6± 3.4medium

Hits

Bryce HarperPHI
1.5± 1.3high
Brandon MarshPHI
1.4± 1.1high
Trea TurnerPHI
1.2± 0.8high

Total bases

Bryce HarperPHI
3.0± 3.2high
Brandon MarshPHI
2.7± 2.8high
Kyle SchwarberPHI
2.4± 4.1high

RBIs

Bryce HarperPHI
1.0± 1.2high
Kyle SchwarberPHI
1.0± 2.0high
Brandon MarshPHI
0.8± 1.1high

Earned runs

Aaron NolaPHI
3.5± 2.1medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.4± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYY

league avg

PHI

.743

OPS

◀

.718

.706

.320

OBP

◀

.319

.303

4.88

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.45

3.36

Team ERA

◀

4.18

4.10

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.30

8.8

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

NYY 4 · PHI 2 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	4
PHI	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Rice1B	.318	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
J. DominguezRF	.333	3	2	2	1	1	0	1
G. Lombard Jr.SS	.208	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J.C. EscarraC	.200	3	0	0	1	0	0	1
M. SchuemannSS	.400	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
S. JonesCF	.333	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
M. LucianoOF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. OrnelasSS	.222	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
K. CoronaCF	.231	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. Martinez Jr.1B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. PalmaC	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. ShortSS	.231	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
L. GabrielsonCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. AriasSS	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. ShewmakeSS	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. MoylanUN	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
G. MartinRF	.167	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Y. FernandezRF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		34	4	7	4	2	2	13

Player

.318

.333

.208

.200

.400

.333

.000

.222

.231

.250

.167

.231

.000

.333

.143

.000

.167

.200

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. GilSP	3.1	4	2	1	0	4	62
T. HillRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	15
B. HeadrickRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19
P. BlackburnRP	4.0	1	0	0	3	4	64
Team	9.0	8	2	1	3	10	160

Player

3.1

0.2

1.0

4.0

Team

9.0

160

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. TurnerSS	.100	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J.T. RealmutoC	.235	3	1	2	1	1	0	0
A. Bohm3B	.353	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. GarciaRF	.211	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. Stott2B	.533	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
B. De La CruzOF	.304	3	0	2	1	0	0	1
D. MooreCF	.211	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
P. LeonRF	.261	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. PintoC	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. RinconSS	.238	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. Escobar2B	.105	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. McIntoshC	.375	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. FergusLF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. DaySS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Binelas1B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. SaltibanSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. HumphreysOF	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. DeMartiniSS	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		35	2	8	2	1	3	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. BanksRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	17
J. BowlanRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	17
J. AlvaradoRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15
J. DuranRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	12
Z. McCambleyRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	20
L. TrivinoRP	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	26
C. KingRP	3.0	2	0	0	1	4	48
Team	9.0	7	4	4	2	13	155

Team

NYY

PHI

3 sub-models, blended.

PHI vs NYY.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

PHI vs NYY.