Chicago White Sox vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 10, 2026

FINAL+4ATH

CHW

11-8

711

ATH

8-10

Hohokam Stadium · Mesa, Arizona

5,146 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.4%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Gage JumpATH
5.7± 2.5low
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.1± 1.0high
Miguel VargasCHW
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Miguel VargasCHW
2.2± 2.5high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.7± 1.6high
Braden MontgomeryCHW
1.6± 1.7medium

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.7low
Jacob GonzalezCHW
0.8± 1.7high
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low
Sean BurkeCHW
2.5± 1.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

ATH

.742

OPS

.718

.735

.324

OBP

.319

.327

4.87

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.56

4.21

Team ERA

◀

4.18

5.00

1.32

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.44

8.5

K / 9

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATH wins

CHW 7 · ATH 11 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	3	0	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
ATH	3	0	1	2	0	0	3	2	11

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. AcunaCF	.429	4	0	2	0	0	0	0
C. MontgomerySS	.185	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. Vargas3B	.344	3	2	2	0	0	1	0
E. QueroC	.367	4	1	1	1	0	0	2
J. KelenicRF	.240	2	2	0	0	0	2	0
L. Sosa2B	.222	3	0	1	2	0	0	1
K. LeeC	.273	2	2	1	3	1	2	0
D. HillRF	.269	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
W. Bergolla Jr.2B	.375	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Da. Baker2B	.462	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Perez3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. BurkeCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Weber2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Galanie1B	.182	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Dru BakerCF	.273	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Ju. GonzalezC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. HarrisLF	.545	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. BreauxC	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		37	7	10	7	1	6	6

Player

.429

.185

.344

.367

.240

.222

.273

.269

.375

.462

.000

.000

.250

.182

.273

.000

.545

.200

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. SmithSP	2.2	5	5	5	4	2	70
G. SchoenleRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	1	9
M. McLaughlinP	0.2	2	1	1	1	1	16
J. LeasureRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	5
G. TaylorRP	1.2	5	3	2	0	2	36
R. KaufmanSP	0.2	0	0	0	1	1	14
H. SmithSP	0.2	3	2	2	0	1	24
Team	8.0	16	11	10	6	8	174

Player

2.2

0.2

0.2

1.0

1.2

0.2

0.2

Team

8.0

174

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.179	2	2	1	1	1	1	0
S. LangeliersC	.276	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
T. SoderstromLF	.357	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
B. RookerDH	.286	3	2	2	3	1	0	1
J. WilsonSS	.250	1	0	1	0	0	2	0
J. McNeil2B	.364	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
A. WynnsC	.286	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. Ibanez2B	.357	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
H. BolteCF	.414	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. Muncy3B	.320	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
C. ThomasRF	.174	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. De VriesSS	.355	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
T. White3B	.500	2	2	2	1	0	0	0
M. Stefanic2B	.350	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
C. MarloweOF	.313	2	1	1	2	0	0	0
C. WallachC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. GreenOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. DickeyRF	.400	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
Team		39	11	16	10	3	6	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SpringsSP	2.2	4	6	6	3	3	69
S. EmanuelsRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	1	12
M. KellyRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	23
M. Leiter Jr.RP	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	18
J. EstesSP	2.2	2	0	0	1	0	43
G. KirnRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. PelhamRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	12
Team	9.0	10	7	7	6	6	179

Team

CHW

ATH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs CHW.