New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 7, 2026

FINAL+3WSH

NYY

10-4

WSH

7-4-3

CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches · Palm Beach, Florida

7,372 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.4%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs NYY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 94 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Foster GriffinWSH
6.2± 2.2medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.1± 2.9medium

Hits

Dylan CrewsWSH
1.1± 1.0high
Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
1.1± 1.4high
Keibert RuizWSH
1.0± 0.9high

Total bases

Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
2.8± 3.6high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.9± 2.6high
CJ AbramsWSH
1.8± 2.1high

RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
0.9± 1.5high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.6± 0.7high
Ben RiceNYY
0.5± 1.0high

Earned runs

Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.4± 2.7low
Will WarrenNYY
2.4± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

NYY

league avg

WSH

.746

OPS

.718

.739

.321

OBP

.319

.318

4.90

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.26

3.30

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.71

1.19

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.39

8.8

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

WSH wins

NYY 0 · WSH 3 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
WSH	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	3

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DominguezRF	.304	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J.C. EscarraC	.231	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. Lombard Jr.SS	.235	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. JonesRF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
S. BrownLF	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. LucianoOF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Vivas3B	.214	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. FernandezRF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. OrnelasSS	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. CoronaCF	.273	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. Martinez Jr.1B	.286	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. PalmaC	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. ShewmakeSS	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. EllisCF	.133	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. AvinaLF	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. KentSS	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. ShortSS	.182	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		29	0	3	0	0	2	8

Player

.304

.231

.235

.333

.125

.000

.214

.167

.143

.273

.286

.200

.200

.133

.286

.333

.182

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. WarrenSP	4.0	2	1	0	2	3	50
J. BirdRP	0.2	2	2	2	1	1	20
Y. De los SantosRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	13
C. ColemanRP	0.1	0	0	0	2	0	14
O. BidoRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	11
K. CastroRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	10
Team	8.0	4	3	2	6	5	118

Player

4.0

0.2

1.0

0.1

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

118

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. WoodRF	.118	3	0	1	2	0	0	0
D. CrewsRF	.143	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
C. AbramsSS	.118	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
D. LileLF	.056	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Garcia Jr.1B	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. House3B	.389	2	0	0	1	0	0	1
A. Chaparro1B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. TenaDH	.182	1	1	1	0	0	2	0
D. MillasC	.364	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. WiemerRF	.063	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Hassell IIICF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. KingSS	.385	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. FranklinLF	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Morales1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. AlcantaraSS	.182	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. FienSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. Martinez2B	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. BarreraC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		27	3	4	3	0	6	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. GraySP	3.0	1	0	0	1	2	32
K. WaldichukRP	3.0	1	0	0	1	2	39
C. PerezRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	12
P. PoulinRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16
R. LoveladyRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	14
Team	9.0	3	0	0	2	8	113

Team

NYY

WSH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

WSH vs NYY.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

WSH vs NYY.