Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 7, 2026

FINAL+2COL

COL

8-6

LAD

10-5

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

11,879 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.5%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 95 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Roki SasakiLAD
5.4± 3.1low
Emmet SheehanLAD
5.3± 2.8medium

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high

RBIs

Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high
Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

LAD

.741

OPS

.718

▶

.784

.325

OBP

.319

▶

.345

4.61

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.21

5.53

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.44

1.51

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.12

7.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

COL 6 · LAD 4 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	1	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	6
LAD	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.381	1	2	1	3	0	1	0
B. DoyleCF	.500	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
H. GoodmanC	.118	0	0	0	2	0	1	0
M. MoniakLF	.417	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. BeckLF	.259	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
T. JohnstonRF	.259	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. Ritter2B	.462	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
V. MachinSS	.238	3	2	2	0	0	1	0
N. Lopez2B	.263	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
S. ThompsonRF	.053	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. HobsonCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. FulfordDH	.357	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
E. Hedges2B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. MontgomeryCF	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CondonOF	.421	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. Hopfe1B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Kent2B	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		30	6	8	6	0	6	8

Player

.381

.500

.118

.417

.259

.259

.462

.238

.263

.053

.000

.357

.000

.333

.421

.000

.222

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. AgnosRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	13
S. SullivanSP	3.0	3	1	1	0	1	50
W. HerreraRP	1.1	3	3	3	0	0	38
T. ShookSP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	6
A. LaskeyRP	3.0	6	0	0	0	5	66
Team	9.0	12	4	4	0	6	173

Player

1.0

3.0

1.1

0.2

3.0

Team

9.0

173

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.409	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. Freeman1B	.429	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
M. BettsSS	.273	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. HernándezLF	.478	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.308	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
A. PagesCF	.350	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
S. Espinal3B	.588	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
A. CallLF	.455	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
E. AlfonzoC	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. De PaulaRF	.391	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
R. WardLF	.138	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
N. MillerSS	.360	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
G. Lockwood-PowellC	.091	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Fernandez1B	.333	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. GeorgeCF	.063	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. EhrhardOF	.345	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. Fitzgerald3B	.286	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
S. ZavalaC	.091	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		39	4	13	4	0	0	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. KnackSP	3.0	1	2	2	1	0	36
B. CaspariusRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	16
B. TreinenRP	0.1	3	4	4	2	0	21
C. DuranSP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	10
A. VesiaRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	14
J. DreyerRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	3	18
G. McDanielsRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	13
A. KnowlesRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
Team	9.0	8	6	6	6	8	141

Team

COL

LAD

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs COL.