Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 6, 2026

FINAL+4MIL

ARI

7-6

MIL

6-7

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

4,908 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.5%

ensemble · ARI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs ARI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 95 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Robert GasserMIL
5.2± 2.2low

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Corbin CarrollARI
1.1± 1.0high
Gabriel MorenoARI
1.1± 0.8high

Total bases

Ketel MarteARI
2.4± 1.7high
Corbin CarrollARI
2.0± 2.1high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high

RBIs

Corbin CarrollARI
0.8± 1.7high
Ildemaro VargasARI
0.7± 1.2high
Ketel MarteARI
0.7± 0.8high

Earned runs

Zac GallenARI
4.0± 2.2medium
Merrill KellyARI
3.4± 2.8low
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ARI

league avg

MIL

.694

OPS

.718

▶

.732

.308

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.23

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.16

4.33

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.40

1.30

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

7.0

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIL wins

ARI 2 · MIL 6 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ARI	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
MIL	1	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	6

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AmayaSS	.350	4	1	1	0	0	0	1
Ó. MercadoRF	.316	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. LawlarLF	.316	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
L. Groover1B	.250	3	0	0	1	0	0	0
A. GarciaC	.154	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Pena2B	.167	3	1	1	1	1	1	1
B. McLaughlin3B	.333	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
G. ConticelloOF	.333	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
D. CrisantesSS	.750	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
A. RodriguezSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. RobertsOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Serretti3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. AlpuriaOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. VirahondaC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Soler3B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. FrancoLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Marte1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	2	8	2	1	2	9

Player

.350

.316

.316

.250

.154

.167

.333

.333

.750

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.333

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BrattSP	2.2	1	1	1	4	2	52
A. BakerRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	4
B. JarvisRP	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	32
J. BurgosRP	1.0	3	2	2	1	3	27
J. CurtissRP	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	23
T. RashiRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	19
Team	8.0	8	6	6	7	8	157

Player

2.2

0.1

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

157

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. Bauers1B	.462	2	0	0	0	0	2	0
B. LockridgeLF	.462	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
C. YelichDH	.500	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
A. BaddooLF	.353	3	1	1	1	0	1	0
R. McGuireC	.091	3	0	0	0	0	1	1
D. Hamilton3B	.300	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
L. LaraCF	.280	4	1	1	1	0	0	1
J. MadeSS	.273	4	1	2	1	0	0	1
G. JonesLF	.300	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
E. Bitonti3B	.333	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. HurtubiseLF	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. WoodC	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. CastilloRF	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. MillerC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Boeve2B	.250	1	1	1	2	1	0	0
J. RagsdaleOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. O'RaeCF	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. EbelSS	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		32	6	8	6	1	7	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. PatrickRP	3.0	5	2	2	0	5	52
J. KoenigRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	19
P. StrzeleckiRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	15
B. FitzpatrickRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	19
M. ChildersRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	14
M. ManfrediRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	23
B. HolubRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	10
Team	9.0	8	2	2	2	9	152

Team

ARI

MIL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs ARI.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs ARI.