Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 6, 2026

FINAL+8DET

BOS

6-7

311

DET

3-6-3

Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium · Lakeland, Florida

8,162 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.5%

ensemble · BOS favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

DET vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Tarik SkubalDET
6.6± 2.9low
Ranger SuarezBOS
6.1± 3.1medium
Connelly EarlyBOS
5.8± 2.2medium

Hits

Caleb DurbinBOS
1.3± 0.8high
Anthony SeiglerBOS
1.1± 1.0low
Dillon DinglerDET
1.1± 1.2high

Total bases

Caleb DurbinBOS
2.1± 2.1high
Dillon DinglerDET
2.1± 2.2high
Anthony SeiglerBOS
1.6± 1.8low

RBIs

Tsung-Che ChengBOS
0.7± 0.8low
Dillon DinglerDET
0.7± 0.8high
Kerry CarpenterDET
0.7± 1.4high

Earned runs

Framber ValdezDET
2.7± 2.5medium
Connelly EarlyBOS
2.4± 2.3medium
Jack FlahertyDET
2.4± 1.6medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

BOS

league avg

DET

.698

OPS

.718

▶

.709

.312

OBP

.319

.315

4.02

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.13

3.69

Team ERA

◀

4.17

3.78

1.24

WHIP

1.31

1.24

8.7

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.4

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

DET wins

BOS 3 · DET 11 (by 8)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
BOS	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3
DET	0	0	0	0	2	2	5	2	11

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. WardCF	.455	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
K. Campbell2B	.211	2	1	1	2	1	1	0
M. Ferguson2B	.235	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
C. WongC	.063	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. GasperC	.353	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
N. HickeyC	.105	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
V. Capra3B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. CastroCF	.300	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. McDonoughOF	.235	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. ThaissC	.214	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. AzocarCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BarryCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. OpataOF	1.000	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
F. JimenezOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Liendo2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. FerminOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. PintoSS	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		31	3	4	3	2	3	13

Player

.455

.211

.235

.063

.353

.105

.000

.300

.235

.214

.000

.000

1.000

.000

.000

.000

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. EarlySP	3.2	2	0	0	1	4	51
S. MartinezRP	1.1	1	2	2	2	1	24
T. GuerreroRP	1.0	2	2	1	1	1	26
J. Wu-YellandSP	0.1	1	3	3	1	1	17
C. FeeneyRP	0.2	3	2	2	0	1	21
J. JuanSP	0.2	1	2	0	2	1	26
J. AllmerRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	3
Team	8.0	11	11	8	7	9	168

Player

3.2

1.1

1.0

0.1

0.2

0.2

0.1

Team

8.0

168

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. CarpenterRF	.263	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. DinglerC	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
S. Torkelson1B	.231	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
R. GreeneLF	.111	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. RogersC	.286	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. McGonigleSS	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. Anderson2B	.250	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
P. MeadowsCF	.056	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
J. PeckSS	.429	2	0	1	2	0	0	0
W. PerezRF	.083	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Burt2B	.000	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
E. ValenciaC	.333	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
M. VierlingCF	.533	3	3	3	4	1	0	0
A. SlaterRF	.286	1	2	1	0	0	2	0
J. PenneySS	.167	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
T. RaineyRP	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Jung3B	.389	3	0	3	3	0	0	0
C. RuckerSS	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. LiranzoC	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. LittleRP	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. CruzCF	.267	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. NidoC	.267	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
Team		34	11	11	10	1	7	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. VerlanderSP	2.0	2	2	2	2	4	50
M. RodriguezRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	7
D. AndersonRP	3.1	0	0	0	0	4	46
W. VestRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12
T. RaineyRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	19
J. LittleRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	20
Team	9.0	4	3	3	3	13	154

Team

BOS

DET

—

3 sub-models, blended.

DET vs BOS.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

DET vs BOS.