Colorado Rockies vs Athletics: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 6, 2026

FINAL+5COL

COL

7-6

116

ATH

4-8

Hohokam Stadium · Mesa, Arizona

6,112 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.5%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATH vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 93 high confidence

Strikeouts

Gage JumpATH
5.8± 2.8low
J.T. GinnATH
5.0± 2.7medium
Jeffrey SpringsATH
4.4± 1.6medium

Hits

TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Jake McCarthyCOL
1.3± 0.8high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.0± 1.0high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.3± 2.3high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.1± 3.8high

RBIs

Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.8± 0.9high
Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium
Sean SullivanCOL
3.7± 5.5low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

ATH

.741

OPS

.718

.736

.325

OBP

.319

.327

4.64

Runs / G

4.50

4.60

5.53

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.97

1.51

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.44

7.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

COL 11 · ATH 6 (by 5)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	3	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	3	11
ATH	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	6

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. FreemanRF	.500	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
A. Amador2B	.227	5	1	1	0	0	0	1
T. Rumfield1B	.350	2	3	1	1	1	2	0
K. Karros3B	.467	3	2	2	2	1	0	0
B. SullivanC	.533	3	1	2	3	1	0	0
C. CondonOF	.389	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
Z. VeenLF	.222	4	0	0	0	0	1	1
C. Stevens2B	.286	3	2	3	1	1	0	0
D. AvansLF	.087	5	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Hopfe1B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
V. MachinSS	.167	1	1	1	2	0	0	0
E. Hedges2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
K. McCannC	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
S. ThompsonRF	.059	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
N. Kent2B	.250	1	0	0	1	0	1	1
Team		36	11	11	11	4	8	8

Player

.500

.227

.350

.467

.533

.389

.222

.286

.087

.000

.167

.000

.167

.059

.250

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DollanderSP	3.0	4	1	1	2	2	53
J. HergetRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	4	27
L. PeraltaRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	5
K. ThompsonRP	2.1	6	4	4	1	1	53
S. FleslandRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	1
F. UlloaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team	9.0	12	6	6	3	7	141

Player

3.0

2.0

1.0

2.1

0.1

0.1

Team

9.0

141

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McNeil2B	.231	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
S. LangeliersC	.261	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
A. Ibanez2B	.235	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Muncy3B	.286	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
C. MarloweOF	.350	2	1	2	1	1	1	0
B. Harris3B	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. De VriesSS	.368	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. LaskoCF	.154	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ElliottLF	.286	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. WallachC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. Angeles3B	.214	2	2	2	0	0	0	0
D. Swift3B	1.000	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
C. ThomasRF	.143	4	0	2	3	0	0	0
G. TurleyLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. LearyRF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. DickeyRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Kuroda-GrauerSS	.357	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Mann3B	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
Team		38	6	12	6	1	3	7

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J.T. GinnSP	3.0	4	4	4	2	3	58
L. MedinaRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	16
B. KriskeRP	1.0	1	2	2	1	0	22
K. MorrisSP	3.0	2	1	1	1	2	47
C. MillerSP	0.0	2	3	3	2	0	18
C. JohnsonRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	3	25
Team	9.0	11	11	11	8	8	186

Team

COL

ATH

3 sub-models, blended.

ATH vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATH vs COL.