Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 1, 2026

FINAL+1LAD

LAA

3-7

LAD

7-3

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

11,167 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 93 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.3± 1.2high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Zach NetoLAA
2.0± 2.1high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.8± 1.2medium
Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high

Earned runs

Ryan JohnsonLAA
2.9± 3.4low
Jose SorianoLAA
2.7± 2.2medium
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

LAD

.716

OPS

.718

▶

.787

.318

OBP

.319

▶

.346

4.51

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.32

4.58

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.44

1.40

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.12

8.9

K / 9

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

LAA 3 · LAD 4 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
LAD	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	4

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. RadaCF	.200	3	1	1	0	0	1	1
N. Madrigal3B	.600	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
V. Grissom2B	.133	4	1	1	2	1	0	0
L. O'HoppeC	.333	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
C. TaylorCF	.111	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
O. Peraza2B	.200	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
T. Mancini1B	.091	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
J. Candelario3B	.154	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. SiriCF	.133	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. FlintRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Walton3B	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
S. RiveroC	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
W. MecklerLF	.182	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Sanchez3B	.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
N. Kavadas1B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. Paris2B	.364	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
E. RodriguezCF	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		31	3	7	3	2	5	9

Player

.200

.600

.133

.333

.111

.200

.091

.154

.133

.000

.222

.200

.182

.200

.286

.364

.400

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. DetmersSP	3.0	5	2	2	2	2	--
R. JohnsonSP	3.0	3	1	1	0	2	--
A. GordonRP	2.0	5	1	1	0	1	--
Team	8.0	13	4	4	2	5	0

Player

R. DetmersSP

3.0

R. JohnsonSP

3.0

A. GordonRP

2.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.308	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
T. HernándezLF	.467	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. BettsSS	.000	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
F. Freeman1B	.375	2	0	1	1	0	1	0
A. PagesCF	.400	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
M. Muncy3B	.286	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
Z. EhrhardOF	.353	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.263	3	1	2	1	1	0	1
E. AlfonzoC	.286	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
N. MillerSS	.500	2	0	2	0	0	0	0
A. GauthierSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. HopeCF	.308	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
G. Lockwood-PowellC	.125	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. Nevin3B	.200	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
K. GeorgeCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. De PaulaRF	.438	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. NewellCF	.182	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Wagner3B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		37	4	13	4	1	2	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. KnackSP	0.2	4	3	3	1	1	--
C. RomeroRP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	--
J. DreyerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
B. TreinenRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
A. VesiaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
K. HurtRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
C. DayRP	2.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
K. RamirezP	1.0	0	0	0	2	0	--
C. MorseRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	--
Team	9.0	7	3	3	5	9	0

Team

LAA

LAD

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs LAA.