Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 27, 2026

FINAL+8SF

LAD

6-1

412

5-2

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

10,715 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · LAD favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs LAD.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 87 high confidence

Strikeouts

Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium
Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low

Hits

Luis ArraezSF
1.4± 0.8high
Freddie FreemanLAD
1.3± 1.2high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.0± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Max MuncyLAD
0.7± 0.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
0.7± 0.9high

Earned runs

Tyler MahleSF
3.4± 3.7low
Trevor McDonaldSF
2.8± 2.5low
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAD

league avg

.787

OPS

◀

.718

.725

.346

OBP

◀

.319

.308

5.32

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

3.44

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.32

1.12

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.36

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SF wins

LAD 4 · SF 12 (by 8)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAD	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	4
SF	1	1	0	1	5	4	0	0	12

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. Freeland2B	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
S. Espinal3B	.444	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
D. RushingC	.091	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
N. Senzel3B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. Hiura1B	.083	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
R. WardLF	.143	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.143	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
Z. EhrhardOF	.333	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
M. SianiCF	.167	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
K. Nevin3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Z. HopeCF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. ZavalaC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Vetrano1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. QuirozC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. GauthierSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. IzarraSS	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. NewellCF	.250	1	1	1	2	1	0	0
K. GeorgeCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team		34	4	7	4	1	2	13

Player

.222

.444

.091

.250

.083

.143

.143

.333

.167

.000

.333

.000

.000

.000

.000

1.000

.250

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Y. YamamotoSP	3.0	5	2	2	0	4	--
Ry. RyanRP	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	--
L. FoxP	0.2	2	4	4	2	1	--
C. RomeroRP	0.1	2	1	1	0	1	--
E. HenriquezRP	0.0	1	4	3	2	0	--
C. SuarezRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
P. GervaseRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	--
A. SerwinowskiSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
Team	8.0	14	12	11	5	13	0

Player

3.0

1.0

0.2

0.1

0.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. AdamesSS	.083	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
B. EldridgeDH	.273	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
P. BaileyC	.400	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
L. Arraez2B	.364	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
H. BaderCF	.417	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Chapman3B	.444	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
H. RamosLF	.556	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
V. BericotoRF	.625	3	1	2	5	1	0	0
D. SusacC	.500	3	0	2	1	0	0	1
O. BasabeSS	.500	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. LevelSS	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
C. SchmittLF	.100	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
W. BrennanLF	.375	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
N. Furman2B	.333	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
G. McCrayCF	.143	2	2	0	0	0	2	1
T. Fitzgerald2B	.091	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. OlivaCF	.500	3	1	2	3	0	0	1
P. Harber3B	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. DavidsonLF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. HaaseC	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		38	12	14	11	2	5	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. RaySP	2.0	1	1	1	1	1	--
C. SeymourRP	1.2	2	1	1	1	3	--
R.J. DabovichRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
M. GageRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
G. SantosRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
G. FaroneRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
M. JohnsonP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
N. ZwackRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	2	--
Team	9.0	7	4	4	2	13	0

Team

LAD

—

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs LAD.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs LAD.