Chicago White Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 27, 2026

FINAL+3MIL

CHW

5-4

MIL

4-4

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

3,761 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium
Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Miguel VargasCHW
1.1± 0.9high

Total bases

Miguel VargasCHW
2.2± 2.5high
Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.7low
Jacob GonzalezCHW
0.8± 1.7high
Miguel VargasCHW
0.7± 1.6high

Earned runs

Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium
Robert GasserMIL
2.6± 2.7low
Sean BurkeCHW
2.5± 1.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

MIL

.739

OPS

.718

.732

.323

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.82

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.16

4.22

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.40

1.32

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

8.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

MIL wins

CHW 2 · MIL 5 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
MIL	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	5

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.333	1	2	1	0	0	1	0
B. MontgomeryRF	.273	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Sosa2B	.182	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. QueroC	.538	3	0	2	2	0	0	0
J. KelenicRF	.091	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. MurrayLF	.364	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
T. PetersCF	.273	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. LeeC	.300	2	0	0	0	0	2	1
O. Dunn3B	.222	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
Dru BakerCF	.300	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Camilletti2B	.375	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. LodiseSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. RomoC	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
G. WolkowOF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Mogollon2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. ConnorOF	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. SprinkleSS	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		31	2	6	2	0	6	12

Player

.333

.273

.182

.538

.091

.364

.273

.300

.222

.300

.375

.000

.400

.333

.000

.333

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. BurkeSP	3.0	3	2	2	1	2	--
T. McDougalSP	3.0	4	2	2	0	3	--
N. SchultzSP	2.0	3	1	1	0	3	--
Team	8.0	10	5	5	1	8	0

Player

S. BurkeSP

3.0

T. McDougalSP

3.0

N. SchultzSP

2.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChourioLF	.214	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
B. Turang2B	.308	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
W. ContrerasC	.200	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
S. FrelickRF	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Bauers1B	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
A. Vaughn1B	.273	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Rengifo3B	.250	3	1	2	2	1	0	0
G. MitchellCF	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
J. OrtizSS	.429	3	2	3	0	0	0	0
J. Adamczewski2B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. HurtubiseLF	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
D. MillerC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. RagsdaleOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Wilken3B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. DingesC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jon Adams3B	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. MadeSS	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. PrattSS	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	5	10	5	1	1	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. SproatSP	1.1	3	1	1	1	3	--
K. BowmanRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	--
A. UribeRP	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	--
S. DrohanRP	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	--
E. McGeeSP	2.0	1	0	0	1	1	--
D. RomSP	0.2	0	0	0	3	1	--
M. ChildersRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
B. HolubRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
Team	9.0	6	2	2	6	12	0

Team

CHW

MIL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs CHW.