Los Angeles Angels vs Cincinnati Reds: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 27, 2026

FINAL+1LAA

LAA

3-5

CIN

3-3

Goodyear Ballpark · Goodyear, Arizona

3,745 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CIN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CIN vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high
Edwin ArroyoCIN
1.0± 1.3high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Zach NetoLAA
2.0± 2.1high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
1.9± 2.2medium

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.8± 1.2medium

Earned runs

Nick LodoloCIN
2.9± 3.0low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
2.9± 3.4low
Brady SingerCIN
2.8± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

CIN

.716

OPS

◀

.718

.699

.318

OBP

◀

.319

.310

4.51

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.25

4.58

Team ERA

4.17

4.59

1.40

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.46

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

LAA 4 · CIN 3 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	4
CIN	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. Grissom2B	.091	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Schanuel1B	.200	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. AdellRF	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. O'HoppeC	.333	2	1	1	2	1	1	0
C. Moore2B	.300	3	1	1	0	0	0	2
C. TaylorCF	.143	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
O. Peraza2B	.167	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
B. TeodosioLF	.273	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. Candelario3B	.100	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
D. Guzman3B	.250	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
D. Walton3B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. RodriguezCF	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. MartinezC	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Frazier2B	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. MecklerLF	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Y. Sanchez3B	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. RadaCF	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Santa Cruz De OviedoOF	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	4	6	4	1	2	12

Player

.091

.200

.200

.333

.300

.143

.167

.273

.100

.250

.286

.429

.286

.286

.222

.200

.143

A. Santa Cruz De OviedoOF

.500

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. SuterRP	2.0	3	1	1	2	1	--
W. UrenaSP	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	--
R. ZeferjahnRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	0	--
S. Natera Jr.RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
J. FerminRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
H. YnoaSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
S. AndersonRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	--
Team	9.0	7	3	3	2	5	0

Player

2.0

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. MarteRF	.182	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. BledayLF	.556	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
S. Stewart1B	.375	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
E. SuarezDH	.154	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. TrevinoC	.500	2	0	2	1	0	0	0
N. LoweDH	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Hayes3B	.125	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. HindsRF	.600	1	1	1	0	0	1	0
G. Hampson2B	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
H. RodriguezLF	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. CallihanLF	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Chavis2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. LewisSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. DunnCF	.182	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
M. Toglia1B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Encarnacion-Strand1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. TrautweinC	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. BalcazarSS	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		30	3	7	3	1	2	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. LowderSP	3.0	0	0	0	1	3	--
J. AguiarSP	2.0	4	3	3	0	2	--
S. MollRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
Y. MarteRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	--
J. FrancoRP	2.0	0	0	0	0	5	--
Team	9.0	6	4	4	2	12	0

Team

LAA

CIN

3 sub-models, blended.

CIN vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CIN vs LAA.