Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 27, 2026

FINAL+2CHW

TEX

4-5

CHW

5-3

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

2,928 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · TEX favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHW win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHW vs TEX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 88 high confidence

Strikeouts

Nathan EovaldiTEX
6.7± 2.1medium
Jacob deGromTEX
6.6± 2.5medium
Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium

Hits

Sam AntonacciCHW
1.2± 0.9high
Miguel VargasCHW
1.1± 0.9high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Miguel VargasCHW
2.2± 2.5high
Brandon NimmoTEX
1.9± 2.3high
Joc PedersonTEX
1.8± 2.4high

RBIs

Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.7low
Jake BurgerTEX
0.9± 1.1high
Jacob GonzalezCHW
0.8± 1.7high

Earned runs

Chris PaddackTEX
3.1± 2.4low
Jacob deGromTEX
2.6± 2.9medium
Sean BurkeCHW
2.5± 1.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

TEX

league avg

CHW

.712

OPS

.718

▶

.739

.320

OBP

.319

.323

4.07

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.82

3.95

Team ERA

◀

4.17

4.22

1.24

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.32

8.6

K / 9

◀

8.5

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

TEX 1 · CHW 3 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
TEX	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
CHW	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. CarterCF	.222	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
J. Burger1B	.273	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Smith2B	.300	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. HelmanCF	.091	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. OsunaLF	.100	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
C. CauleySS	.316	3	0	2	1	0	0	1
J. HerreraC	.071	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
R. Perich3B	.250	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
L. HansonUN	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. MartinezOF	.125	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
F. Chavez2B	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Taylor3B	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
K. RodriguezSS	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. TorresRF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. SniderLF	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. GarateSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. SpringerC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	1	6	1	0	4	10

Player

.222

.273

.300

.091

.100

.316

.071

.250

.000

.125

.400

.500

.250

.333

.200

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. GoreSP	3.0	3	0	0	0	1	--
A. DiazRP	0.2	2	3	3	1	1	--
M. ThompsonRP	0.1	1	0	0	1	0	--
R. GarciaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
J. JunisRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
J. SborzRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
L. LopezSP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	--
Team	8.0	7	3	3	3	8	0

Player

3.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Vargas3B	.364	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
K. TeelC	.071	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. MontgomerySS	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. HaysLF	.250	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
L. Wade Jr.1B	.182	3	1	1	2	1	0	1
S. AntonacciLF	.273	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
B. BaldwinLF	.400	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. HarrisLF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
Da. Baker2B	.667	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
C. BonemerSS	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. TurnerC	.333	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
W. Bergolla Jr.2B	.714	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
S. ZavalaCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Galanie1B	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Gonzalez1B	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. FauskeC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. NishidaRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		30	3	7	3	1	3	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. FeddeSP	2.0	0	0	0	1	2	--
S. DominguezRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
M. VasilRP	3.0	3	1	1	2	4	--
G. TaylorRP	1.0	2	0	0	1	1	--
B. EisertRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
B. PeoplesRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
Team	9.0	6	1	1	4	10	0

Team

TEX

CHW

—

3 sub-models, blended.

CHW vs TEX.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

3 sub-models, blended.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHW vs TEX.