Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 26, 2026

FINAL+1SEA

CLE

4-3

SEA

3-3-1

Peoria Stadium · Peoria, Arizona

4,759 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · CLE favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SEA vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 88 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium

Hits

Brayan RocchioCLE
1.1± 0.9high
Chase DeLauterCLE
1.1± 0.8high
Julio RodriguezSEA
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Cole YoungSEA
1.8± 2.8high
Travis BazzanaCLE
1.6± 3.1high
Dominic CanzoneSEA
1.5± 2.1high

RBIs

Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Cooper IngleCLE
0.7± 1.6low
Travis BazzanaCLE
0.6± 1.6high

Earned runs

Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium
Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CLE

league avg

SEA

.676

OPS

.718

▶

.696

.312

OBP

.319

.312

3.93

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.05

3.77

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.70

1.26

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

9.3

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

CLE 7 · SEA 8 (by 1)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CLE	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1	1	7
SEA	2	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	8

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. MartinezLF	.167	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
G. ValeraLF	.400	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. FryRF	.182	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
K. Manzardo1B	.100	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
N. JonesRF	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. RodriguezRF	.222	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. Brito2B	.250	2	1	1	2	1	0	0
C. Kieboom3B	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. Genao3B	.125	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. HalpinCF	.333	2	2	2	3	1	0	0
A. RosarioRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
K. HuffC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
R. Velazquez1B	.429	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
K. WatsonRF	.667	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. BarstadC	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. TolentinoSS	.250	1	1	1	0	0	1	0
J. DeversSS	.500	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
W. FranciscaSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		35	7	10	7	2	5	9

Player

.167

.400

.182

.100

.167

.222

.250

.143

.125

.333

.000

.000

.429

.667

.333

.250

.500

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CantilloSP	1.1	4	4	2	1	1	--
H. StanleyRP	0.2	0	0	0	1	0	--
M. FestaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
T. HerrinRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	--
P. AvilaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
D. NikhazySP	1.0	3	2	2	1	0	--
R. WebbSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
T. MaceSP	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	--
Team	8.0	12	8	6	3	5	0

Player

1.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Donovan3B	.600	3	1	1	1	0	0	0
C. RaleighC	.308	3	1	2	2	0	0	0
J. RodriguezCF	.556	2	1	1	1	0	2	0
R. ArozarenaLF	.364	4	0	1	1	0	0	0
L. RaleyRF	.500	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
D. CanzoneDH	.333	4	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. JoeRF	.182	3	1	0	0	0	0	0
M. ArroyoSS	.429	2	2	1	0	0	1	1
C. EmersonSS	.364	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
L. Suisbel1B	.333	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
J. CaronC	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. ThomasLF	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. PackardOF	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PeredaC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. SundstromOF	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Taylor1B	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. RambuschOF	.125	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Rodden2B	.455	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
Team		34	8	12	8	1	3	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. MillerSP	1.1	3	0	0	0	1	--
A. MendozaRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	--
C. CriswellRP	2.0	2	2	2	2	1	--
C. LeguminaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
C. WilcoxRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
R. LoutosRP	1.0	2	3	3	0	2	--
R. OrtizSP	0.2	2	1	1	1	0	--
M. PerezSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
D. GonzalezSP	1.0	1	1	1	1	1	--
Team	9.0	10	7	7	5	9	0

Team

CLE

SEA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

SEA vs CLE.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SEA vs CLE.