Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 26, 2026

FINAL+8COL

COL

5-2

113

4-2

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

6,701 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs COL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low
Tyler MahleSF
4.9± 2.3low

Hits

Jake McCarthyCOL
1.4± 0.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Luis ArraezSF
1.4± 0.8high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.5± 2.2high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.3± 4.0high
TJ RumfieldCOL
2.2± 1.4high

RBIs

Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.7high
Jake McCarthyCOL
0.7± 1.1high
TJ RumfieldCOL
0.7± 0.9high

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Sean SullivanCOL
4.0± 4.5low
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

COL

league avg

.741

OPS

◀

.718

.725

.325

OBP

◀

.319

.308

4.64

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

5.53

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.32

1.51

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.36

7.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

COL 11 · SF 3 (by 8)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
COL	0	2	0	1	3	3	0	2	0	11
SF	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.333	4	0	1	1	0	0	1
B. SullivanC	.556	4	2	3	0	0	0	0
C. CarriggCF	.500	3	1	2	1	0	0	1
J. BeckLF	.333	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
K. Karros3B	.444	3	1	1	2	0	0	1
C. CondonOF	.600	2	1	2	2	1	1	0
A. Amador2B	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Ritter2B	.462	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
C. Stevens2B	.375	2	2	1	1	1	1	1
D. AvansLF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. FulfordDH	.375	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
T. Rumfield1B	.364	1	1	1	2	1	1	0
C. CapelLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
Z. VeenLF	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. Kent2B	.250	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
V. MachinSS	.071	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Riggio2B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. MessinaC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		41	11	16	11	4	4	10

Player

.333

.556

.500

.333

.444

.600

.200

.462

.375

.167

.375

.364

.000

.222

.250

.071

.500

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. BellozoRP	3.0	2	1	1	0	1	--
J. HergetRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
V. VodnikRP	1.0	5	2	2	0	0	--
B. BernardinoRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
G. HughesSP	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	--
W. HerreraRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
Team	9.0	10	3	3	0	6	0

Player

3.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

2.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. Arraez2B	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Chapman3B	.429	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
R. Devers1B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. AdamesSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
H. RamosLF	.429	2	1	2	1	1	0	0
P. BaileyC	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
H. BaderCF	.455	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. OlivaCF	.429	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Holton1B	.444	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Kennedy1B	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. Harber3B	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. EncarnacionRF	.091	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
O. BasabeSS	.750	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. RodríguezC	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. CartayaC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. McCrayCF	.200	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
W. BrennanLF	.375	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
L. MatosRF	.375	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. DavidsonLF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	3	10	3	2	0	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. TidwellRP	2.0	2	2	2	1	2	--
S. BivensRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	--
R. SanmartinRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	2	--
H. BirdsongRP	1.0	4	3	3	1	1	--
W. RamosRP	1.0	4	3	3	2	0	--
T. HarrisRP	2.0	2	2	2	0	3	--
J. SanchezSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
Team	9.0	16	11	11	4	10	0

Team

COL

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs COL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs COL.