Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 26, 2026

FINAL+4NYY

ATL

4-2

NYY

5-2

George M. Steinbrenner Field · Tampa, Florida

8,500 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · ATL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs ATL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

121

projections · 91 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chris SaleATL
7.7± 1.9medium
Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
5.9± 3.1medium

Hits

Mauricio DubonATL
1.2± 0.8high
Matt OlsonATL
1.1± 1.2high
Michael Harris IIATL
1.0± 0.9high

Total bases

Mauricio DubonATL
2.0± 1.6high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.8± 2.6high
Matt OlsonATL
1.7± 1.5high

RBIs

Rowdy TellezATL
0.7± 1.4low
Ozzie AlbiesATL
0.6± 1.1high
Amed RosarioNYY
0.6± 1.1high

Earned runs

Bryce ElderATL
3.1± 2.8medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.4± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATL

league avg

NYY

.720

OPS

.718

▶

.746

.311

OBP

.319

▶

.321

4.76

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.90

3.41

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.30

1.21

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

8.7

K / 9

8.5

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

ATL 3 · NYY 7 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATL	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	3
NYY	5	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Wisely2B	.200	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
N. Alvarez Jr.SS	.182	4	0	1	2	0	0	1
D. SmithDH	.400	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. GamelRF	.375	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
K. FarmerDH	.429	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Keirsey Jr.CF	.167	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. TrompC	.250	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
L. WilliamsSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. AzocarRF	.333	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
J. JarvisSS	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Groshans3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. ClohisyCF	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Gil3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. Kilpatrick Jr.CF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. CamargoC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. WaddellSS	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. EspinozaSS	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	3	8	3	1	1	11

Player

.200

.182

.400

.375

.429

.167

.250

.000

.333

.167

.000

.500

.000

.000

.000

.400

.667

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CarrascoRP	1.2	4	5	5	1	1	--
S. SchanamanP	0.1	1	0	0	0	0	--
E. HernándezRP	3.0	2	1	1	0	1	--
T. ScottRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
A. PopeRP	1.0	1	1	1	0	1	--
A. MolinaRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	--
Team	8.0	8	7	7	2	4	0

Player

1.2

0.1

3.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. GrishamCF	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. JudgeRF	.375	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
C. BellingerLF	.444	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.500	3	1	1	2	1	0	1
P. Goldschmidt1B	.500	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
A. WellsC	.200	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
R. McMahon3B	.200	3	1	1	2	0	0	0
J. CaballeroSS	.333	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
S. BrownLF	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. JonesCF	.333	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
M. LucianoOF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. FernandezRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Vivas3B	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. Hardman1B	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
P. HenryC	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. OrnelasSS	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. ShewmakeSS	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	7	8	7	3	2	4

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. RodriguezSP	3.0	2	2	2	1	4	--
C. DovalRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	--
C. WinquestRP	1.2	2	0	0	0	1	--
Y. De los SantosRP	1.1	1	0	0	0	0	--
A. ChivilliRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
M. AriasSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
Team	9.0	8	3	3	1	11	0

Team

ATL

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs ATL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

NYY vs ATL.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers