Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 25, 2026

FINAL+7NYY

WSH

4-1-1

NYY

4-2

George M. Steinbrenner Field · Tampa, Florida

7,766 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

123

projections · 96 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Foster GriffinWSH
6.2± 2.2medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
5.9± 3.1medium

Hits

Dylan CrewsWSH
1.1± 1.0high
Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
1.1± 1.3high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.9± 0.9high

Total bases

Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
2.9± 3.5high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.8± 2.6high
CJ AbramsWSH
1.8± 2.1high

RBIs

Luis Garcia Jr.WSH
0.9± 1.5high
Amed RosarioNYY
0.6± 1.1high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Miles MikolasWSH
2.6± 3.0medium
Gerrit ColeNYY
2.4± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

WSH

league avg

NYY

.739

OPS

.718

.746

.318

OBP

.319

.321

5.26

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.90

4.71

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.30

1.39

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

7.8

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

WSH 0 · NYY 7 (by 7)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
WSH	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
NYY	1	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. AbramsSS	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. CrewsRF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
K. RuizC	.222	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. WiemerRF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. TenaDH	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Lipscomb3B	.500	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Ortiz1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. FranklinLF	.167	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
T. BarreraC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
S. AlcantaraSS	.286	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. PinckneyLF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Mervis1B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. MillasC	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. GlasserLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Morales1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
O. Martinez2B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. Brown1B	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		27	0	1	0	0	0	12

Player

.167

.000

.222

.000

.000

.500

.000

.167

.000

.286

.167

.500

.200

.000

.000

.500

.200

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. AlvarezRP	2.0	3	2	2	2	3	--
R. LoveladyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
T. GottRP	1.0	2	3	1	1	0	--
C. BeeterRP	1.0	2	2	0	0	2	--
J. RutledgeRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
P. PoulinRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	--
P. SchultzRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	8.0	7	7	3	4	8	0

Player

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. Rosario3B	.300	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
J. DominguezRF	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. Rice1B	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
P. DeJong3B	.143	3	1	0	0	0	0	1
J.C. EscarraC	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
M. SchuemannSS	.571	3	2	3	0	0	0	0
G. Lombard Jr.SS	.250	2	0	1	2	0	1	0
J. OrnelasSS	.333	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
K. CoronaCF	.167	1	1	0	0	0	2	0
M. PalmaC	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. Martinez Jr.1B	.143	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. ShortSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. EllisCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. SanchezC	.111	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. MartinRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. KentSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Martin-GrudzielanekSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. TroyerRP	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		32	7	7	4	1	4	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. WeathersSP	3.2	1	0	0	0	5	--
D. WatsonRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
D. BednarRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
F. CruzRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
T. HillRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
K. CarrSP	2.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
Team	9.0	1	0	0	0	12	0

Team

WSH

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs WSH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs WSH.