St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 25, 2026

FINAL+6STL

STL

3-2

NYM

2-2-1

Clover Park · Port St. Lucie, Florida

4,922 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · STL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYM win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYM win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYM win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYM vs STL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 86 high confidence

Strikeouts

Nolan McLeanNYM
6.3± 2.3medium
Dustin MaySTL
5.5± 3.4medium
Christian ScottNYM
5.3± 2.9low

Hits

Juan SotoNYM
1.2± 0.9high
JJ WetherholtSTL
1.2± 1.3high
Carson BengeNYM
1.1± 0.6high

Total bases

Juan SotoNYM
2.1± 2.5high
JJ WetherholtSTL
1.8± 2.8high
Bo BichetteNYM
1.7± 2.0high

RBIs

Blaze JordanSTL
0.8± 1.4low
A.J. EwingNYM
0.6± 0.9high
Alec BurlesonSTL
0.6± 0.5high

Earned runs

Kodai SengaNYM
4.1± 3.0low
Matthew LiberatoreSTL
3.1± 2.1medium
Freddy PeraltaNYM
2.9± 3.6medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

STL

league avg

NYM

.717

OPS

◀

.718

.673

.324

OBP

◀

.319

.299

4.47

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.00

4.26

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.10

1.35

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.28

7.5

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

STL wins

STL 6 · NYM 0 (by 6)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
STL	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	0	0	6
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. Wetherholt2B	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
J. FerminLF	.429	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
N. Gorman3B	.286	3	1	1	3	1	0	0
N. VelazquezLF	.286	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
L. BernalC	.250	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
N. ChurchLF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jo. BáezRF	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. Jordan3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. DavisCF	.400	3	1	2	2	0	0	0
B. Moore2B	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Mendoza2B	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. McGee3B	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
C. LedbetterCF	.500	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
G. TarlowC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. LevensonOF	.333	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
C. LinarezC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. HarrisSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. AnticoCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		37	6	10	6	1	2	7

Player

.000

.429

.286

.286

.250

.167

.143

.000

.400

.143

.333

.500

.500

.000

.333

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. FittsSP	2.0	2	0	0	0	1	--
M. SvansonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
G. GraceffoRP	1.0	3	0	0	0	0	--
C. RoycroftRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
B. ZimmermannRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
J. CijntjeSP	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	--
L. GastelumRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	8	0	0	1	6	0

Player

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

2.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. BengeRF	.375	3	0	3	0	0	0	0
J. SotoLF	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
F. AlvarezC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. Vientos1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. SengerC	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Arroyo2B	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
V. BrujanSS	.429	2	0	2	0	0	0	0
C. PacheOF	.571	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
G. Kessinger3B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. MosqueraLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A.J. EwingCF	.250	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Young1B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Clifford1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. MorabitoLF	.143	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Reimer3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. CluffSS	.500	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. BaeCF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. SueroC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	0	8	0	0	1	6

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. TongSP	2.2	3	3	3	1	2	--
D. OrellanaSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
L. GarciaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
A. AlzolayRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
N. BurdiRP	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	--
J. JacquesRP	1.0	3	1	1	0	1	--
M. TurnerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
A. RozekRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
Team	9.0	10	6	6	2	7	0

Team

STL

NYM

3 sub-models, blended.

NYM vs STL.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYM vs STL.