Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 24, 2026

FINAL+8LAD

CLE

4-1

311

LAD

4-0

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

6,016 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · CLE favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Parker MessickCLE
6.2± 2.4medium
Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
6.1± 2.7medium

Hits

Freddie FreemanLAD
1.3± 1.2high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.0± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Cooper IngleCLE
0.7± 1.6low

Earned runs

Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium
Roki SasakiLAD
2.7± 2.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CLE

league avg

LAD

.676

OPS

.718

▶

.787

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.346

3.93

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.32

3.77

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.44

1.26

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.12

9.3

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

CLE 3 · LAD 11 (by 8)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CLE	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
LAD	2	0	5	0	2	2	0	0	11

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. JonesRF	.222	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Brito2B	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
K. Manzardo1B	.125	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
A. HedgesC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. ValeraLF	.429	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
S. FairchildRF	.286	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
T. Bazzana2B	.250	3	1	2	3	1	0	0
J. RodriguezRF	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Genao3B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. WatsonRF	.750	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. Kieboom3B	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
R. Velazquez1B	.600	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. IngleC	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
W. AntunezRF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. RosarioRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Benjamin3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Frias3B	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Team		32	3	6	3	1	1	12

Player

.222

.167

.125

.000

.429

.286

.250

.167

.167

.750

.200

.600

.250

.333

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. WilliamsSP	1.1	1	2	1	1	1	--
J. DriverRP	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	--
C. HoldermanRP	0.2	4	5	5	1	0	--
J. JasiakRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	1	--
C. BrogdonRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
A. PetersonSP	1.1	4	4	4	1	1	--
C. SchuelkeRP	0.1	0	0	0	3	1	--
J. CareyRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
J. LeftwichRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
T. BurnsSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
Team	8.0	12	11	10	6	9	0

Player

1.1

0.2

0.2

0.1

1.0

1.1

0.1

0.1

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. RojasSS	.400	3	1	2	0	0	0	0
K. TuckerRF	.000	1	2	0	0	0	2	0
W. SmithC	.500	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
F. Freeman1B	.500	2	1	1	2	0	0	0
T. HernándezLF	.714	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
A. PagesCF	.714	1	1	1	2	0	0	0
A. Freeland2B	.333	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
N. Senzel3B	.429	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
K. Hiura1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. SianiCF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
K. GeorgeCF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. Lockwood-PowellC	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	1
S. ZavalaC	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.111	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
R. Fitzgerald3B	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
N. MillerSS	.429	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. De PaulaRF	.556	3	2	3	1	0	0	0
Z. HopeCF	.400	1	1	1	1	0	1	0
Team		35	11	12	10	0	6	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. StoneSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
E. HenriquezRP	1.0	2	3	3	0	1	--
J. WrobleskiSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Ry. RyanRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
P. GervaseRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
A. KellyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
W. MillsRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
N. CruzRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	2	--
R. GutierrezRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	6	3	3	1	12	0

Team

CLE

LAD

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs CLE.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs CLE.