Los Angeles Angels vs Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 24, 2026

FINAL+2COL

LAA

1-4

COL

3-2

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick · Scottsdale, Arizona

4,420 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

COL vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 98 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium
Walbert UrenaLAA
5.0± 1.5medium

Hits

Jake McCarthyCOL
1.4± 0.8high
TJ RumfieldCOL
1.4± 0.5high
Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high

Total bases

Jake McCarthyCOL
2.5± 2.2high
Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
2.3± 4.0high

RBIs

Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Hunter GoodmanCOL
0.8± 1.7high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.8± 1.2medium

Earned runs

Kyle FreelandCOL
4.7± 2.2medium
Sean SullivanCOL
4.0± 4.5low
Michael LorenzenCOL
3.7± 2.9medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

COL

.716

OPS

.718

▶

.741

.318

OBP

.319

▶

.325

4.51

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.64

4.58

Team ERA

◀

4.17

5.53

1.40

WHIP

◀

1.31

1.51

8.9

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.2

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

COL wins

LAA 5 · COL 7 (by 2)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
LAA	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	5
COL	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	1	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. Frazier2B	.400	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
V. Grissom2B	.167	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
L. O'HoppeC	.400	2	0	1	2	0	1	1
J. SiriCF	.143	3	0	0	0	0	1	0
C. TaylorCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. Candelario3B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
N. RadaCF	.167	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
W. MecklerLF	.143	3	1	1	2	0	1	1
S. RiveroC	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. Rodriguez2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Guzman3B	.286	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
G. DavalilloC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. De JesusRF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. Walton3B	.333	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
A. Santa Cruz De OviedoOF	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
M. QuinteroC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		30	5	6	5	0	7	7

Player

.400

.167

.400

.143

.000

.167

.167

.143

.333

.000

.286

.000

.000

.333

A. Santa Cruz De OviedoOF

1.000

M. QuinteroC

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. KochanowiczSP	1.2	3	1	1	1	1	--
K. YovanRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
S. AndersonRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	--
V. MederosSP	1.1	5	2	2	0	0	--
L. MurphySP	0.2	1	0	0	0	2	--
J. FerminRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
H. YnoaSP	1.0	3	2	2	0	2	--
D. ClarkSP	1.0	1	1	1	1	0	--
Team	8.0	15	7	7	2	9	0

Player

1.2

0.1

1.0

1.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. McCarthyCF	.375	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
J. BeckLF	.333	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. Julien2B	.222	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. FulfordDH	.286	3	1	1	1	0	0	1
K. Karros3B	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. CarriggCF	.444	3	1	2	1	0	0	0
T. Rumfield1B	.125	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. Amador2B	.286	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
R. Ritter2B	.500	3	1	3	2	0	0	0
S. ThompsonRF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
T. JohnstonRF	.125	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. CondonOF	.500	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
C. MessinaC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
V. MachinSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. AvansLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. SullivanC	.400	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
N. Lopez2B	.143	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
C. Stevens2B	.400	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
Team		39	7	15	7	1	2	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DollanderSP	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	--
S. HalvorsenRP	0.2	1	2	2	3	0	--
T. ShookSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
J. MejiaRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
Z. AgnosRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
L. PeraltaRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	--
S. SullivanSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
P. WeigelRP	1.0	3	3	3	1	1	--
R. MillerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
Team	9.0	6	5	5	7	7	0

Team

LAA

COL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

COL vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

COL vs LAA.