Detroit Tigers vs Atlanta Braves: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 24, 2026

FINAL+7ATL

DET

0-3-1

ATL

3-1

CoolToday Park · North Port, Florida

5,005 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

ATL vs DET.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

126

projections · 90 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chris SaleATL
7.7± 1.9medium
Tarik SkubalDET
6.6± 2.9low
Jack FlahertyDET
5.7± 3.5medium

Hits

Mauricio DubonATL
1.2± 0.8high
Matt OlsonATL
1.1± 1.2high
Kevin McGonigleDET
1.1± 0.7high

Total bases

Mauricio DubonATL
2.0± 1.6high
Dillon DinglerDET
2.0± 2.2high
Matt OlsonATL
1.7± 1.5high

RBIs

Dillon DinglerDET
0.8± 0.8high
Rowdy TellezATL
0.7± 1.4low
Ozzie AlbiesATL
0.6± 1.1high

Earned runs

Bryce ElderATL
3.1± 2.8medium
Framber ValdezDET
2.7± 2.5medium
Jack FlahertyDET
2.4± 1.6medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

DET

league avg

ATL

.709

OPS

.718

▶

.720

.315

OBP

◀

.319

.311

4.13

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.76

3.78

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.41

1.24

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.21

8.4

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATL wins

DET 1 · ATL 8 (by 7)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
DET	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
ATL	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	8

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. MeadowsCF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
K. McGonigleSS	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
W. PerezRF	.250	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. JonesDH	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
Z. McKinstry2B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
M. ClarkCF	.286	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
H. Lee2B	.200	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. Jung3B	.143	3	0	1	1	0	0	0
T. NidoC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. CruzCF	.200	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. JulksLF	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. PeckSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. HadeenSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
B. MalgeriCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Anderson2B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. MeyersOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. BricenoC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		28	1	3	1	0	4	11

Player

.000

.333

.250

.000

.250

.286

.200

.143

.000

.200

.400

.000

.000

.000

.250

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. De JesusRP	3.1	2	3	0	1	0	--
P. GarciaRP	0.1	1	0	0	1	1	--
M. SeelingerRP	1.1	2	2	2	0	2	--
D. SommersRP	1.0	0	2	2	1	1	--
R. VanascoRP	1.0	2	1	1	2	0	--
C. WaitesRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	8.0	7	8	5	5	5	0

Player

3.1

0.1

1.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. Acuna Jr.RF	.200	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. ProfarLF	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Olson1B	.600	3	2	2	2	1	0	0
A. Riley3B	.200	3	1	0	0	0	0	1
O. Albies2B	.250	2	1	1	2	0	0	0
M. YastrzemskiLF	.750	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
M. Harris IICF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. HeimC	.000	2	0	0	1	0	0	1
M. DubonSS	.250	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
O. CareyOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. Gil3B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
T. EnglishOF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. FarmerDH	.750	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. Wisely2B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
J. JarvisSS	.250	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
D. Keirsey Jr.CF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	2	0
J. AzocarRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. TolveC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. WilliamsSS	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team		28	8	7	8	1	5	5

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. LopezRP	2.0	1	0	0	1	2	--
G. HolmesSP	2.0	0	0	0	1	2	--
J. WentzRP	2.0	1	1	1	2	3	--
O. MurphySP	2.0	1	0	0	0	3	--
R. KerrRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	3	1	1	4	11	0

Team

DET

ATL

—

3 sub-models, blended.

ATL vs DET.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

ATL vs DET.