Athletics vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 23, 2026

FINAL+4SF

ATH

0-3

3-0

Scottsdale Stadium · Scottsdale, Arizona

6,636 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · ATH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SF vs ATH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 85 high confidence

Strikeouts

Landen RouppSF
5.9± 1.8medium
Gage JumpATH
5.7± 2.5low
Logan WebbSF
5.5± 1.5low

Hits

Luis ArraezSF
1.4± 0.8high
Casey SchmittSF
1.2± 1.1high
Alika WilliamsATH
1.1± 1.0high

Total bases

Heliot RamosSF
2.0± 1.9high
Luis ArraezSF
2.0± 1.5high
Rafael DeversSF
2.0± 2.7high

RBIs

Nick KurtzATH
0.7± 1.1high
Rafael DeversSF
0.7± 1.2high
Jonah HeimATH
0.6± 0.7high

Earned runs

Jeffrey SpringsATH
3.5± 2.0medium
Tyler MahleSF
3.4± 3.7low
Aaron CivaleATH
2.9± 3.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

ATH

league avg

.736

OPS

◀

.718

.725

.327

OBP

◀

.319

.308

4.60

Runs / G

◀

4.50

4.06

4.97

Team ERA

4.17

▶

4.32

1.44

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.36

8.5

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SF wins

ATH 2 · SF 6 (by 4)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
ATH	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
SF	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	6

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Kurtz1B	.000	1	1	0	0	0	2	0
A. WynnsC	.200	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
C. CortesRF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	1	0
M. Muncy3B	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
A. Ibanez2B	.333	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
D. HernaizSS	.600	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
B. Harris3B	.333	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
H. BolteCF	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. PerezCF	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. ServenC	.600	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. De VriesSS	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. White3B	.800	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Kuroda-GrauerSS	.500	2	0	2	0	0	0	0
C. ElliottLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
R. LaskoCF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. MarloweOF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. LavastidaC	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
B. Milone1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	2	10	1	0	7	9

Player

.000

.200

.333

.333

.333

.600

.333

.143

.250

.600

.200

.800

.500

.000

.333

.167

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J.T. GinnSP	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
G. JumpSP	1.0	3	1	1	1	0	--
T. FergusonRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	--
E. AlvaradoRP	1.0	1	1	0	1	1	--
B. NettSP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	--
B. KriskeRP	0.2	1	1	1	2	2	--
N. HernandezRP	0.1	0	0	0	1	0	--
W. SueroRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	1	--
Team	8.0	11	6	5	5	8	0

Player

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.2

0.1

1.0

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. Arraez2B	.500	3	0	2	2	0	0	1
R. Devers1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	2
W. AdamesSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. LeeRF	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
H. RamosLF	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Chapman3B	.500	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
D. GilbertCF	.400	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
H. BaderCF	.500	1	1	1	0	0	1	0
D. SusacC	.400	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
G. KilenSS	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. RodríguezC	.333	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
B. EldridgeDH	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. Fitzgerald2B	.200	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. MatosRF	.250	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
W. BrennanLF	.667	1	1	1	0	0	1	0
B. Kennedy1B	.250	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. BericotoRF	1.000	2	1	2	2	1	0	0
B. DavidsonLF	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
N. Furman2B	.500	0	2	0	0	0	1	0
L. PorterC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		33	6	11	6	1	5	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BrubakerRP	1.0	3	2	2	2	0	--
T. McDonaldSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
G. SantosRP	1.0	2	0	0	2	0	--
T. VrielingSP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	--
G. FaroneRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
M. JohnsonP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
C. DelvecchioRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	2	--
D. SmithRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	--
B. PetersonRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	0	--
Team	9.0	10	2	2	7	9	0

Team

ATH

—

3 sub-models, blended.

SF vs ATH.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs ATH.