Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 23, 2026

FINAL+3LAD

SEA

2-2

LAD

3-0

Camelback Ranch - Glendale · Phoenix, Arizona

9,886 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · SEA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAD win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAD vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 89 high confidence

Strikeouts

Bryce MillerSEA
6.7± 3.4low
Logan GilbertSEA
6.6± 2.2medium
Bryan WooSEA
6.2± 3.1medium

Hits

Freddie FreemanLAD
1.3± 1.2high
Mookie BettsLAD
1.3± 1.0high
Tommy EdmanLAD
1.2± 1.5low

Total bases

Mookie BettsLAD
2.4± 2.5high
Freddie FreemanLAD
2.0± 1.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Mookie BettsLAD
0.8± 1.0high
Max MuncyLAD
0.7± 0.9high
Shohei OhtaniLAD
0.7± 0.9high

Earned runs

Bryan WooSEA
2.8± 3.2medium
George KirbySEA
2.8± 1.8medium
Emmet SheehanLAD
2.7± 1.8medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

SEA

league avg

LAD

.696

OPS

.718

▶

.787

.312

OBP

.319

▶

.346

4.05

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.32

3.70

Team ERA

4.17

▶

3.44

1.19

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.12

8.9

K / 9

8.5

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

SEA 0 · LAD 3 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
SEA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
LAD	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	3

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. RoblesRF	.200	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
R. RefsnyderDH	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. Wisdom3B	.167	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. JoeRF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Mastrobuoni3B	.500	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. KniznerC	.333	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Young2B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. EmersonSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. FarmeloOF	.375	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
B. DavisCF	.400	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. ReetzC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
L. Suisbel1B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
V. LabradaCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
Wi. Wilson3B	.429	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. PeredaC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. RambuschOF	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. St. Laurent3B	1.000	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. ThomasLF	.333	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team		31	0	4	0	0	2	6

Player

.200

.000

.167

.167

.500

.333

.000

.000

.375

.400

.000

.250

.000

.429

.000

.200

1.000

.333

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. GilbertSP	2.0	1	0	0	2	2	32
C. VargasRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	7
J. FerrerRP	0.1	3	2	2	1	1	19
J. RuffcornRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	9
Y. ZuluetaRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	11
T. ClevelandUN	1.0	1	1	0	1	2	25
G. MosserRP	2.0	3	0	0	0	1	34
Team	8.0	10	3	2	4	8	137

Player

2.0

1.0

0.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

2.0

Team

8.0

137

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
H. KimSS	.429	4	0	1	0	0	0	2
T. HernándezLF	.600	2	0	0	0	0	1	1
A. PagesCF	.667	3	0	2	0	0	0	1
D. RushingC	.200	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
S. Espinal3B	.750	3	2	2	0	0	0	0
A. Freeland2B	.500	1	0	1	2	0	2	0
K. Hiura1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
Z. EhrhardOF	.143	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Tibbs IIIRF	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
E. HainlineSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
E. AlfonzoC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Z. HopeCF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
M. SianiCF	.333	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. Fitzgerald3B	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. NewellCF	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. De PaulaRF	.333	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
N. MillerSS	.500	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. WardLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	3	10	2	0	4	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. KnackSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	9
J. DreyerRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	14
B. CaspariusRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21
K. HurtRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	8
A. VesiaRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	17
C. HobbsRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13
C. IrvinRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	6
J. WeemsRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	1	23
N. RobertsonRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	11
Team	9.0	4	0	0	2	6	122

Team

SEA

LAD

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAD vs SEA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAD vs SEA.