Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 21, 2026

FINAL+17NYY

DET

0-1

320

NYY

1-1

George M. Steinbrenner Field · Tampa, Florida

9,778 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NYY vs DET.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 93 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.9± 3.3medium
Tarik SkubalDET
6.6± 2.9low
Ryan WeathersNYY
5.9± 3.1medium

Hits

Kevin McGonigleDET
1.1± 0.7high
Dillon DinglerDET
1.0± 1.1high
Hao-Yu LeeDET
1.0± 0.7high

Total bases

Dillon DinglerDET
2.0± 2.2high
Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.8± 2.6high
Spencer TorkelsonDET
1.6± 1.6high

RBIs

Dillon DinglerDET
0.8± 0.8high
Kerry CarpenterDET
0.6± 1.4high
Amed RosarioNYY
0.6± 1.1high

Earned runs

Framber ValdezDET
2.7± 2.5medium
Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 2.5medium
Jack FlahertyDET
2.4± 1.6medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

DET

league avg

NYY

.714

OPS

.718

▶

.746

.316

OBP

.319

▶

.321

4.15

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.86

3.76

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.37

1.23

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

8.4

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

NYY wins

DET 3 · NYY 20 (by 17)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
DET	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	3
NYY	2	1	2	3	0	2	1	9	20

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. JonesDH	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
K. McGonigleSS	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
G. Torres2B	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
C. Keith3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
J. RogersC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. Jung3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
T. CruzCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	1	0
E. ValenciaC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. JulksLF	.500	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
J. PeckSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
M. ClarkCF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
M. Anderson2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
H. Lee2B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. BigbieRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BricenoC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. StevensonOF	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. LiranzoC	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
S. Gil2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. MalgeriCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		32	3	5	1	1	6	6

Player

.000

.500

.333

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.500

.000

.333

.000

.500

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. MonteroSP	2.0	3	3	3	1	2	--
B. SmithRP	1.0	4	2	2	0	1	--
R. VanascoRP	1.0	3	3	3	1	1	--
D. SommersRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	--
J. LittleRP	1.0	1	2	0	1	1	--
C. WaitesRP	0.2	2	1	1	2	1	--
C. PenaRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
M. SeelingerRP	0.1	1	5	5	4	1	--
W. GoRP	0.2	4	4	4	0	1	--
Team	8.0	18	20	18	11	9	0

Player

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.2

0.1

0.1

0.2

Team

8.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DominguezRF	1.000	1	2	1	1	0	1	0
A. JudgeRF	.667	3	2	2	4	2	0	0
R. McMahon3B	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
P. Goldschmidt1B	.667	3	0	2	2	0	0	0
S. BrownLF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
P. DeJong3B	.500	2	0	1	0	0	1	1
S. JonesCF	.333	3	1	1	1	1	0	2
M. SchuemannSS	.000	1	1	0	0	0	2	0
A. SanchezC	.167	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
G. Lombard Jr.SS	.000	1	1	0	1	0	2	0
G. MartinRF	.000	2	2	0	1	0	1	1
R. AriasSS	.667	3	1	2	4	1	0	1
M. LucianoOF	.000	1	1	0	0	0	2	0
J. Vivas3B	.333	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
P. HenryC	.600	3	2	3	1	0	0	0
J. CastilloRF	.667	2	2	1	3	1	1	0
T. Hardman1B	.333	2	2	1	1	1	1	1
D. EllisCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		41	20	18	19	6	11	9

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. LagrangeSP	2.2	3	2	1	2	2	--
W. BrianRP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
D. BednarRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	0	--
F. CruzRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	0	--
H. CohenSP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
D. FellowsRP	1.0	1	1	0	2	0	--
B. SelvidgeSP	2.0	0	0	0	1	4	--
Team	9.0	5	3	1	6	6	0

Team

DET

NYY

—

3 sub-models, blended.

NYY vs DET.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs DET.