Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 21, 2026

FINAL+3CLE

CLE

2-0

MIL

0-1

American Family Fields of Phoenix · Phoenix, Arizona

3,797 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.6%

ensemble · CLE favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIL win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MIL vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Jacob MisiorowskiMIL
9.4± 2.9medium
Gavin WilliamsCLE
6.6± 2.4medium
Kyle HarrisonMIL
6.5± 3.8medium

Hits

William ContrerasMIL
1.2± 1.5high
Brayan RocchioCLE
1.1± 0.9high
Chase DeLauterCLE
1.1± 0.8high

Total bases

Jackson ChourioMIL
1.9± 1.4high
William ContrerasMIL
1.9± 2.8high
Brice TurangMIL
1.7± 1.5high

RBIs

Kahlil WatsonCLE
0.8± 1.4low
Cooper IngleCLE
0.7± 1.6low
William ContrerasMIL
0.7± 1.2high

Earned runs

Gavin WilliamsCLE
2.8± 2.4medium
Brandon SproatMIL
2.7± 2.0medium
Tanner BibeeCLE
2.4± 2.4medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CLE

league avg

MIL

.673

OPS

.718

▶

.734

.310

OBP

.319

▶

.338

3.91

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.17

3.77

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.40

1.26

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

9.3

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CLE wins

CLE 9 · MIL 6 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CLE	0	0	0	3	3	3	0	0	0	9
MIL	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	6

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DeLauterRF	.667	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
B. RocchioSS	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
K. Manzardo1B	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
A. HedgesC	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	1
D. SchneemannCF	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
G. ValeraLF	.500	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
N. JonesRF	.667	3	1	2	4	1	0	0
P. HalpinCF	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
T. Bazzana2B	.000	2	0	0	1	0	1	1
J. ChourioCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. Genao3B	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	0
K. HuffC	.000	1	1	0	0	0	1	1
C. IngleC	.500	2	1	1	3	1	0	0
J. DeversSS	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
J. CozartC	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
W. AntunezRF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
A. RosarioRF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Frias3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		36	9	10	8	2	8	8

Player

.667

.333

.000

.000

.333

.500

.667

.000

.000

.000

.000

.000

.500

.500

.500

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CantilloSP	1.1	3	2	2	0	2	--
I. MartinezRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	0	--
C. BrogdonRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
R. WebbSP	1.1	4	2	2	0	1	--
J. CareyRP	0.2	1	0	0	1	0	--
J. LeftwichRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	--
M. JachecRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	--
Z. MorehouseP	1.0	2	2	2	1	1	--
X. MartinezRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	--
Team	9.0	10	6	6	5	10	0

Player

1.1

0.2

1.0

1.1

0.2

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Turang2B	.500	2	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. ChourioLF	.667	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
A. BaddooLF	.500	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
J. OrtizSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. BlackDH	.500	2	1	1	0	0	1	0
B. LockridgeLF	.667	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
D. Hamilton3B	.333	3	0	1	2	0	0	1
R. McGuireC	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. LaraCF	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. WilliamsSS	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. Wilken3B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. Adamczewski2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
J. MadeSS	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Jon Adams3B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	2	0
L. PenaSS	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
Jor. AdamsCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. WoodC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
G. JonesLF	1.000	1	0	1	2	0	0	0
Team		36	6	10	6	1	5	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. StallingsRP	1.0	2	0	0	0	0	--
B. HolubRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	--
M. ChildersRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	--
J. DeberryRP	0.1	1	3	2	4	0	--
J. BrocaRP	0.2	0	0	0	0	1	--
T. HardinRP	1.0	2	3	3	1	1	--
B. WichrowskiRP	1.0	3	3	3	2	1	--
E. JimenezP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
M. RodriguezRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
M. ManfrediRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	2	--
Team	9.0	10	9	8	8	8	0

Team

CLE

MIL

3 sub-models, blended.

MIL vs CLE.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

MIL vs CLE.