Chicago White Sox vs Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Box Score — Feb 20, 2026

FINAL+7CHW

CHW

1-0

CHC

0-1

Sloan Park · Mesa, Arizona

14,419 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.4%

ensemble · CHW favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHC win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHC vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 81 high confidence

Strikeouts

Sean BurkeCHW
6.0± 1.6medium
Matthew BoydCHC
5.8± 3.1low
Davis MartinCHW
5.7± 3.0medium

Hits

Nico HoernerCHC
1.2± 1.2high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
1.2± 1.1high
Seiya SuzukiCHC
1.2± 0.9high

Total bases

Miguel VargasCHW
2.2± 2.5high
Dansby SwansonCHC
2.1± 2.9high
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC
2.0± 1.8high

RBIs

Dansby SwansonCHC
1.2± 2.5high
Justin DeanCHC
1.0± 2.3low
Kyle TeelCHW
1.0± 1.7low

Earned runs

Jordan WicksCHC
3.7± 5.5low
Shota ImanagaCHC
3.3± 3.2medium
Colin ReaCHC
2.8± 2.5medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

CHC

.742

OPS

.718

.742

.324

OBP

.319

▶

.337

4.87

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.94

4.21

Team ERA

4.18

4.25

1.32

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.26

8.5

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

CHW 8 · CHC 1 (by 7)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	1	3	0	2	0	0	0	1	1	8
CHC	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Mead3B	.000	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
K. TeelC	.000	3	1	0	0	0	1	2
A. HaysLF	.500	2	1	1	1	1	1	1
M. Murakami1B	.500	4	0	2	2	0	0	1
D. HillRF	1.000	1	1	1	0	0	2	0
S. AntonacciLF	.333	3	1	1	2	1	0	0
K. LeeC	.750	4	1	3	0	0	1	0
T. PetersCF	.333	3	0	1	1	0	0	1
T. MurrayLF	.000	2	1	0	0	0	1	0
D. RomoC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Da. Baker2B	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
B. MontgomeryRF	.500	2	0	1	1	0	0	1
R. Galanie1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. Bergolla Jr.2B	1.000	2	1	2	0	0	0	0
O. Dunn3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. BurkeCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. ConnorOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		38	8	12	7	2	7	9

Player

.000

.000

.500

.500

1.000

.333

.750

.333

.000

.000

.000

.500

.000

1.000

.000

.000

.000

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CannonSP	1.2	2	1	1	1	3	--
R. GowensSP	0.1	0	0	0	0	0	--
T. MillerRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
T. SchweitzerRP	2.0	2	0	0	1	2	--
J. IriarteRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
B. PeoplesRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	2	--
Z. FranklinRP	1.0	1	0	0	2	1	--
Jac. KelleyRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	7	1	1	4	12	0

Player

1.2

0.1

1.0

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. Long1B	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. Bregman3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. SuzukiRF	.500	2	1	1	1	1	0	1
M. AmayaC	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
D. CarlsonLF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
C. McCormickLF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
P. Ramirez2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
B.J. Murray Jr.3B	.000	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. Kingery3B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. NwoguLF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. RojasSS	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. BatemanCF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
A. ArmasC	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. Triantos2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
O. Miller2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
H. McGeary1B	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
H. Cantrelle2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
P. ChaversRF	.500	2	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team		32	1	7	1	1	4	12

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. TaillonSP	1.2	4	4	4	1	1	--
C. SchultzRP	1.1	2	0	0	1	2	--
P. HodgeRP	0.1	1	2	2	4	1	--
G. KippP	1.2	1	0	0	0	1	--
G. HollowellRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	3	--
C. NolandRP	2.0	2	1	1	1	0	--
Z. MillsSP	1.0	2	1	0	0	1	--
Team	9.0	12	8	7	7	9	0

Team

CHW

CHC

3 sub-models, blended.

CHC vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

CHC vs CHW.