Matchup orbital

ATL

ATL

ATL

23-10

Sat, 8:10 PM EDT

Win prob

65/35

AWAY · HOME

COL

COL

COL

14-19

Place your bet

-219Bet ATL ML↗-219Bet ATL ML↗

Direct to DraftKings or FanDuel · 21+ · we may earn a referral fee.

Pregame · scouting report

The matchup, end-to-end.

Probable starters, projected lineups, head-to-head this season, our model edge against the market — every angle on one surface.

Away starter

Chris Sale

Chris Sale

SP · #51

5-1

W-L

2.31

ERA

0.91

WHIP

38

K

35.0

IP

Last 3 starts

vsPHIW(5-1)6.0 IP0 ER9 K
@PHIW(4-1)7.0 IP1 ER7 K
vsCLEW(3-1)6.0 IP1 ER6 K

Home starter

Brennan Bernardino

Brennan Bernardino

RP · #83

2-0

W-L

0.71

ERA

1.03

WHIP

11

K

12.2

IP

Last 3 starts

@CIN-1.2 IP0 ER1 K
vsSD-0.2 IP0 ER0 K
vsSD-1.0 IP0 ER2 K

Vegas line

Spread-1.5
TotalO/U 9.5
Money-226 / +184

Model edge

Win prob65% / 35%
LeanAway · 15pp
ConfidenceEdge

Head to head

SeriesATL leads series 1-0
TypeCurrent Series

Place a bet

Take ATL on the model side.

Our model leans this way; both DraftKings and FanDuel are open below.

Model side · moneyline

-226Bet ATL ML↗-226Bet ATL ML↗

Other markets

-1.5Bet the run line↗-1.5Bet the run line↗
O/U 9.5Bet the total↗O/U 9.5Bet the total↗

21+ in most states. Lines refreshed at the moment of fetch. We may earn a referral fee on book signups — your odds and terms are unchanged.

Projected lineups

Top of the order, top of mind.

Posted by ESPN ~30 minutes before first pitch.

COL

  1. 1.J. BeckLF
  2. 2.B. DoyleCF
  3. 3.T. Rumfield1B
  4. 4.H. GoodmanC
  5. 5.W. Castro2B
  6. 6.B. SullivanDH
  7. 7.K. Karros3B
  8. 8.E. TovarSS
  9. 9.T. JohnstonRF
Model vs marketAligned
DraftKings · snapped 10m ago
No edgemodel and market agree on COLCOL
ATLATLWin prob axisCOLCOL
Market 34%
Model 35%
0%50%100%
ModelCOL 35%Pre-game prob
MarketCOL 34%No-vig · 4.5% hold
Edge—Within noise
ATLATL -219/COLCOL +179Pass · no value
The One modelEdge
Sun, May 3
ATL

ATL★

Braves

23-10

vs65%ATL

COL

Rockies

14-19

COL
ATL 65%win prob35% COL
ATL 1548 · COL 1419Box score→
← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Sat, May 25/2 - 8:10 PM EDT
ATL

ATL23-10

ATL

@

14-19COL

COL

COL
SeriesATL leads series 1-0VegasATL -226

Preview · MLB

tlanta Braves visit Colorado Rockies Saturday at 5/2 - 8:10 PM EDT. ATL is rolling — 9-3 in their last 12.

Vegas opened ATL as a 1.5-point favorite with the total at 9.5. COL's moneyline implies a 35% break-even, ATL the inverse.

For bettors: the ATL side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 9.5 total reads high-scoring vs the league average.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Line just movedTotal ↘ 0.5pt over 6.2hjust now
5/2 - 8:10 PM EDTScheduled
Updated 0s ago
ATL
ATL23-100
5/2 - 8:10 PM EDT
COL
COL14-190

Current series

ATL leads series 1-0

May 2ATLATL8@COLCOL6
May 3ATLATL@COLCOLtoday
May 3ATLATL@COLCOLupcoming

Season series

ATL leads series 1-0

May 2ATLATL8@COLCOL6
May 3ATLATL@COLCOLtoday
May 3ATLATL@COLCOLupcoming
Aug 28COLCOL@ATLATLupcoming
Aug 29COLCOL@ATLATLupcoming
Aug 30COLCOL@ATLATLupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ATL -1.5

Total

9.5

High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg

0.5pt· 6.2h

Moneyline

ATLATL-22669%
COLCOL+18435%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet ATL -1.5↗SpreadBet ATL -1.5↗

Line movement · 30 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.5

0.0 since open

Pitching matchup · today

ESPN · season stats
ATLATLSP
C. Sale

C. Sale

#51 · 5-1

ERA

2.31

K

38

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/26vsPHIPHI6.0 IP · 0 ER · 9 KW(5-1)
4/18@PHIPHI7.0 IP · 1 ER · 7 KW(4-1)
4/12vsCLECLE6.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 KW(3-1)
COLCOLRP
B. Bernardino

B. Bernardino

#83 · 2-0

ERA

0.71

K

11

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/29@CINCIN1.2 IP · 0 ER · 1 K-
4/23vsSDSD0.2 IP · 0 ER · 0 K-
4/22vsSDSD1.0 IP · 0 ER · 2 K-

Starting lineups

ESPN · 1-9 batting order
ATLATL

Lineup not posted yet.

COLCOL3L · 5R · 1S
  1. 1

    J. Beck

    LF

    R
  2. 2

    B. Doyle

    CF

    R
  3. 3

    T. Rumfield

    1B

    L
  4. 4

    H. Goodman

    C

    R
  5. 5

    W. Castro

    2B

    B
  6. 6

    B. Sullivan

    DH

    L
  7. 7

    K. Karros

    3B

    R
  8. 8

    E. Tovar

    SS

    R
  9. 9

    T. Johnston

    RF

    L

Scouting report

ATL @ COL

5/2 - 8:10 PM EDT

Rest going in

ATLStandard

1 day

last game May 1

COLStandard

1 day

last game May 1

Model edge vs market

Lean only
Spread

Market

ATL -1.5

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Total

Market

9.5

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Moneyline

Market

ATL -226

Model

On the roadmap

Edge

—

Model spread derived from 21-day power-rank delta · not a true point-spread model. Total + ML model wires roadmap. Bet responsibly · 21+

Tale of the tape

ATLmetricCOL

23-10

Record

14-19

#1

Conf rank

#12

+2.1

Pt diff

-0.3

W1

Streak

L2

7-3

Last 10

5-5

Bullpen used yesterday

ATL

4.0 bullpen IP · heavy

  • A. Molina2.0 IP26 P
  • D. Fuentes1.0 IP15 P
  • R. Suarez1.0 IP17 P

W 8-6 · May 1

COL

3.0 bullpen IP · heavy

  • Z. Agnos1.1 IP25 P
  • J. Hill0.2 IP19 P
  • J. Mejia1.0 IP20 P

L 8-6 · May 1

Composite signals from ESPN standings + 21-day power rolling. NBA pace / ORtg / DRtg from ESPN core team-stats; NFL yards-per-game from nflverse aggregation. Park factors, weather, KenPom-class metrics still on the roadmap.

Team stats

ATL

Away

Stat

COL

Home

308

Hits

284

15

Errors

18

185

Runs

143

Player box score

ATL

ATL

23-10

0

Betting line

ATL -1.5·O/U 9.5·ATL -226/COL +184

DraftKings · via ESPN