Matchup orbital

8
ATL
ATL
23-10
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

6
COL
COL
14-19
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATL wins
ATL 8 · COL 6 (by 2)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked ATL +15pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| COL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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ATL23-10
ATL
14-19COL
COL

Recap · MLB
tlanta Braves went into Colorado Rockies and beat them, 8–6.
ATL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 11.0 OVER by 3.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
ATL leads series 1-0
ATL8@
COL6today
ATL@
COLupcoming
ATL@
COLupcomingSeason series
ATL leads series 1-0
ATL8@
COL6today
ATL@
COLupcoming
ATL@
COLupcoming
COL@
ATLupcoming
COL@
ATLupcoming
COL@
ATLupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ATL -1.5
Total
11.0
High-scoring · +2.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ATL-17163%
COL+14141%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 17 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
11.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 32pp · Top 9th Inning
ATL
M. Harris II
CFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

G. Holmes
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 4 K · 5 ER · 7 H · 3 BB
COL
B. Doyle
CFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

J. Quintana
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.0 IP · 3 K · 1 ER · 5 H
How it ended
ATL beat COL 8-6. Harris II's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (32pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
COL vs ATL
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDub · ón tripled to right, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies scored and Olson scored.
Johnston · grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Freeman out at second.
Harris II · homered to right (385 feet), Farmer scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| COL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Period scoring
ATL won 4 · COL won 2
Inn 1
Castro 2
Inn 2
Moniak 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Olson 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Inn 7
Heim 1
Inn 8
Dub 3
Inn 9
II 2
Game flow · key plays
Harris II homered to right (385 feet), Farmer scored.
ATL 8·COL 6
−32pp
Heim walked.
ATL 6·COL 6
−8pp
Johnston grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Freeman out at second.
ATL 6·COL 6
−15pp
Dubón tripled to right, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies scored and Olson scored.
ATL 5·COL 6
−28pp
Goodman hit a ground rule double, Julien scored, Moniak to third.
ATL 0·COL 1
+14pp
Albies grounded into double play, second to first, Baldwin out at second, Acuña Jr. to third.
ATL 0·COL 0
+10pp
Team stats
ATL
Away
Stat
COL
Home
9
Hits
8
1
Errors
1
8
Runs
6
Player box score

ATL
23-10

R. Acuna Jr.★
RF
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Baldwin★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

O. Albies★
2B
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Olson★
1B
OPS
1.933
H-AB
1-3
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

M. Dubon★
SS
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
3
HR
0

A. Riley★
3B
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

E. White★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Heim★
C
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Mateo★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Yastrzemski
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Harris II
CF
OPS
5.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
H-AB
9-34
R
8
RBI
8
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Acuna Jr.★RF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.100 |
![]() D. Baldwin★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() O. Albies★2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() M. Olson★1B | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.933 |
![]() M. Dubon★SS | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.800 |
![]() A. Riley★3B | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.333 |
![]() E. White★CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Heim★C | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() J. Mateo★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. YastrzemskiLF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. Harris IICF | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5.000 |
| Team | 9-34 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — |

G. Holmes★
SP
IP
5.0
H
7
ER
5
K
4

A. Molina
RP
IP
2.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0

D. Fuentes
SP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0

R. Suarez
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
8
ER
5
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() G. Holmes★SP | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
![]() A. MolinaRP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() D. FuentesSP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() R. SuarezRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 5 | 5 |

COL
14-19

E. Julien★
2B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Moniak★
LF
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

H. Goodman★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

T. Rumfield★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

T. Freeman★
RF
OPS
1.167
H-AB
1-2
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

T. Johnston★
RF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Castro★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

E. Tovar★
SS
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. McCarthy★
LF
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Doyle
CF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-33
R
6
RBI
5
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() E. Julien★2B | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() M. Moniak★LF | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() H. Goodman★C | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() T. Rumfield★1B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() T. Freeman★RF | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.167 |
![]() T. Johnston★RF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() W. Castro★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() E. Tovar★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() J. McCarthy★LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
![]() B. DoyleCF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 8-33 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — |

J. Quintana★
SP
IP
6.0
H
5
ER
1
K
3

Z. Agnos
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
2
K
1

J. Hill
RP
IP
0.2
H
1
ER
2
K
1

J. Mejia
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
2
K
1
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
7
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Quintana★SP | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
![]() Z. AgnosRP | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
![]() J. HillRP | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
![]() J. MejiaRP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
Betting line
ATL -1.5·O/U 11·ATL -171/COL +141