Matchup orbital

ATL

8

ATL

ATL

23-10

Final

Win prob

65/35

AWAY · HOME

COL

6

COL

COL

14-19

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ATL wins

ATL 8 · COL 6 (by 2)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked ATL +15pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
ATL0001001428
COL5100000006

Final play

End of the 9th inning

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Fri, May 1Final
ATL

ATL23-10

ATL

@

14-19COL

COL

COL
SeriesATL leads series 1-0VegasATL -171

Recap · MLB

tlanta Braves went into Colorado Rockies and beat them, 8–6.

ATL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 11.0 OVER by 3.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
ATL
ATLWIN23-108
FINAL
COL
COL14-196

Current series

ATL leads series 1-0

May 2ATLATL8@COLCOL6today
May 3ATLATL@COLCOLupcoming
May 3ATLATL@COLCOLupcoming

Season series

ATL leads series 1-0

May 2ATLATL8@COLCOL6today
May 3ATLATL@COLCOLupcoming
May 3ATLATL@COLCOLupcoming
Aug 28COLCOL@ATLATLupcoming
Aug 29COLCOL@ATLATLupcoming
Aug 30COLCOL@ATLATLupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ATL -1.5

Total

11.0

High-scoring · +2.5 vs avg

Moneyline

ATLATL-17163%
COLCOL+14141%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 17 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

11.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowATL COL

Biggest swing: 32pp · Top 9th Inning

ATLATL
M. Harris II

M. Harris II

CF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

G. Holmes

G. Holmes

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 4 K · 5 ER · 7 H · 3 BB

COLCOL
B. Doyle

B. Doyle

CF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

J. Quintana

J. Quintana

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 3 K · 1 ER · 5 H

How it ended

ATL beat COL 8-6. Harris II's play in the top 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (32pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

COL vs ATL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

ATL8
COL6

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
ATLTop 8th Inning · 5-6
+28pp40% WP

Dub · ón tripled to right, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies scored and Olson scored.

ATLBottom 8th Inning · 6-6
+15pp50% WP

Johnston · grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Freeman out at second.

ATLTop 9th Inning · 8-6
+32pp94% WP

Harris II · homered to right (385 feet), Farmer scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
ATL0001001428
COL5100000006

Period scoring

ATL won 4 · COL won 2

0
5

Inn 1

Castro 2

0
1

Inn 2

Moniak 1

0
0

Inn 3

1
0

Inn 4

Olson 1

0
0

Inn 5

0
0

Inn 6

1
0

Inn 7

Heim 1

4
0

Inn 8

Dub 3

2
0

Inn 9

II 2

ATL
COL

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Harris II homered to right (385 feet), Farmer scored.

    ATL 8·COL 6

    32pp

  2. T9

    Heim walked.

    ATL 6·COL 6

    8pp

  3. B8

    Johnston grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Freeman out at second.

    ATL 6·COL 6

    15pp

  4. T8

    Dubón tripled to right, Acuña Jr. scored, Albies scored and Olson scored.

    ATL 5·COL 6

    28pp

  5. B1

    Goodman hit a ground rule double, Julien scored, Moniak to third.

    ATL 0·COL 1

    +14pp

  6. T1

    Albies grounded into double play, second to first, Baldwin out at second, Acuña Jr. to third.

    ATL 0·COL 0

    +10pp

Team stats

ATL

Away

Stat

COL

Home

9

Hits

8

1

Errors

1

8

Runs

6

Player box score

ATL

ATL

23-10

8
R. Acuna Jr.

R. Acuna Jr.

RF

OPS

1.100

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Baldwin

D. Baldwin

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

O. Albies

O. Albies

2B

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Olson

M. Olson

1B

OPS

1.933

H-AB

1-3

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

M. Dubon

M. Dubon

SS

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

3

HR

0

A. Riley

A. Riley

3B

OPS

1.333

H-AB

2-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

E. White

E. White

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Heim

J. Heim

C

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Mateo

J. Mateo

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Yastrzemski

M. Yastrzemski

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Harris II

M. Harris II

CF

OPS

5.000

H-AB

1-1

R

1

RBI

2

HR

1

Team total

H-AB

9-34

R

8

RBI

8

HR

2

G. Holmes

G. Holmes

SP

IP

5.0

H

7

ER

5

K

4

A. Molina

A. Molina

RP

IP

2.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

D. Fuentes

D. Fuentes

SP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

R. Suarez

R. Suarez

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.0

H

8

ER

5

K

5

Betting line

ATL -1.5·O/U 11·ATL -171/COL +141

DraftKings · via ESPN