Matchup orbital

DET

5

DET

DET

16-16

Final

Win prob

40/60

AWAY · HOME

ATL

2

ATL

ATL

22-10

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

DET wins

DET 5 · ATL 2 (by 3)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked ATL +10pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
DET0000010225
ATL0110000002

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Thu, Apr 30Final
DET

DET16-16

DET

@

22-10ATL

ATL

ATL
SeriesATL wins series 2-1VegasATL -126

Recap · MLB

etroit Tigers went into Atlanta Braves and beat them, 5–2.

DET -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 8.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
DET
DETWIN16-165
FINAL
ATL
ATL22-102

Current series

ATL wins series 2-1

Apr 28DETDET2@ATLATL5
Apr 29DETDET3@ATLATL4
Apr 30DETDET5@ATLATL2today

Season series

ATL wins series 2-1

Apr 28DETDET2@ATLATL5
Apr 29DETDET3@ATLATL4
Apr 30DETDET5@ATLATL2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

8.5

Standard · 0.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET+10549%
ATLATL-12656%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowDET ↔ ATL

Biggest swing: 22pp · Top 8th Inning

DETDET
G. Torres

G. Torres

2B

Batter of the game

3-for-4 · 1.500 OPS

F. Valdez

F. Valdez

SP

Starting pitcher

6.0 IP · 8 K · 2 ER · 6 H

ATLATL
O. Albies

O. Albies

2B

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 R · 1.000 OPS

B. Elder

B. Elder

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 5 K · 1 ER · 6 H · 3 BB

How it ended

DET beat ATL 5-2. Carpenter's play in the top 8th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (22pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

ATL vs DET

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

DET5
ATL2

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
ATLTop 7th Inning · 1-2
+14pp→ 72% WP

Greene · struck out swinging.

DETTop 8th Inning · 1-2
+22pp→ 38% WP

Carpenter · tripled to left.

DETTop 9th Inning · 4-2
+13pp→ 91% WP

Vierling · singled to left, Pérez scored on fielding error by left fielder Yastrzemski, Vierling to second.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
DET0000010225
ATL0110000002

Period scoring

DET won 3 · ATL won 2

0
0

Inn 1

0
1

Inn 2

White 1

0
1

Inn 3

Dub 1

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

1
0

Inn 6

Vierling 1

0
0

Inn 7

2
0

Inn 8

Vierling 1

2
0

Inn 9

Vierling 1

DET
ATL

Game flow · key plays

  1. T9

    Vierling singled to left, Pérez scored on fielding error by left fielder Yastrzemski, Vierling to second.

    DET 4·ATL 2

    −13pp

  2. T8

    McGonigle walked, Lee to second, Vierling to third.

    DET 2·ATL 2

    −12pp

  3. T8

    Vierling doubled to left, Carpenter scored.

    DET 2·ATL 2

    −16pp

  4. T8

    Carpenter tripled to left.

    DET 1·ATL 2

    −22pp

  5. T7

    Torkelson lined out to left.

    DET 1·ATL 2

    +13pp

  6. T7

    Greene struck out swinging.

    DET 1·ATL 2

    +14pp

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

ATL

Home

12

Hits

8

0

Errors

1

5

Runs

2

Player box score

DET

DET

16-16

5
K. McGonigle

K. McGonigle★

SS

OPS

0.600

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

G. Torres

G. Torres★

2B

OPS

1.500

H-AB

3-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

C. Keith

C. Keith★

3B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Greene

R. Greene★

LF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

0-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Torkelson

S. Torkelson★

1B

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

K. Carpenter

K. Carpenter★

RF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Vierling

M. Vierling★

CF

OPS

1.200

H-AB

3-5

R

2

RBI

2

HR

0

H. Lee

H. Lee★

3B

OPS

0.400

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Rogers

J. Rogers★

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Jones

J. Jones

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Dingler

D. Dingler

C

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

12-36

R

5

RBI

4

HR

0

F. Valdez

F. Valdez★

SP

IP

6.0

H

6

ER

2

K

8

D. Anderson

D. Anderson

RP

IP

2.0

H

1

ER

0

K

2

K. Finnegan

K. Finnegan

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.0

H

8

ER

2

K

11

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 8.5·DET +105/ATL -126

DraftKings · via ESPN