Matchup orbital

7
SEA
SEA
15-16
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

1
MIN
MIN
13-17
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
SEA wins
SEA 7 · MIN 1 (by 6)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked SEA +7pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
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SEA15-16
SEA
13-17MIN
MIN

Recap · MLB
eattle Mariners went into Minnesota Twins and beat them, 7–1. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 6). Total pushed exactly on 8.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
SEA wins series 2-1
SEA4@
MIN11
SEA7@
MIN1today
SEA5@
MIN3Season series
Series tied 1-1
SEA4@
MIN11
SEA7@
MIN1today
SEA5@
MIN3
MIN@
SEAupcoming
MIN@
SEAupcoming
MIN@
SEAupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SEA -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
SEA-12656%
MIN+10449%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 19pp · Top 7th Inning
SEA
J. Naylor
1BBatter of the game
3-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.800 OPS

L. Gilbert
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 4 K · 1 ER · 6 H · 1 BB
MIN
B. Buxton
CFBatter of the game
2-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.400 OPS

J. Ryan
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 6 K · 2 ER · 6 H · 1 BB
How it ended
SEA beat MIN 7-1. Young's play in the top 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (19pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
MIN vs SEA
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactNaylor · singled to left, Rodríguez scored.
Arozarena · doubled to center.
Young · singled to left, Arozarena scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
SEA won 4 · MIN won 1
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Buxton 1
Inn 6
Naylor 1
Inn 7
Young 1
Inn 8
Naylor 3
Inn 9
Rodr 2
Game flow · key plays
Naylor homered to right (390 feet), Crawford scored and Rodríguez scored.
SEA 5·MIN 1
−13pp
Young singled to left, Arozarena scored.
SEA 2·MIN 1
−19pp
Garver popped out to shortstop.
SEA 1·MIN 1
+11pp
Arozarena doubled to center.
SEA 1·MIN 1
−15pp
Naylor singled to left, Rodríguez scored.
SEA 1·MIN 1
−15pp
Buxton homered to left (389 feet).
SEA 0·MIN 1
+14pp
Team stats
SEA
Away
Stat
MIN
Home
12
Hits
7
1
Errors
0
7
Runs
1
Player box score

SEA
15-16

J.P. Crawford★
SS
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Raleigh★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Rodriguez★
CF
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0

J. Naylor★
1B
OPS
1.800
H-AB
3-5
R
1
RBI
4
HR
1

R. Arozarena★
LF
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Raley★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

D. Canzone★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Young★
2B
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

L. Rivas★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Garver
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
12-37
R
7
RBI
7
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J.P. Crawford★SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.650 |
![]() C. Raleigh★C | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Rodriguez★CF | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.200 |
![]() J. Naylor★1B | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1.800 |
![]() R. Arozarena★LF | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.417 |
![]() L. Raley★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() D. Canzone★RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Young★2B | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.500 |
![]() L. Rivas★3B | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() M. GarverC | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 12-37 | 7 | 7 | 1 | — |

L. Gilbert★
SP
IP
5.0
H
6
ER
1
K
4

E. Bazardo
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0

G. Speier
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0

M. Brash
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2

C. Criswell
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
7
ER
1
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() L. Gilbert★SP | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
![]() E. BazardoRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() G. SpeierRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() M. BrashRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() C. CriswellRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 7 | 1 | 7 |

MIN
13-17

B. Buxton★
CF
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

T. Larnach★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Martin★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Bell★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Clemens★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

V. Caratini★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Keaschall★
2B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Gray★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

R. Lewis★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-35
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() B. Buxton★CF | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() T. Larnach★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() A. Martin★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Bell★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() K. Clemens★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() V. Caratini★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() L. Keaschall★2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
![]() T. Gray★3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() R. Lewis★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Team | 7-35 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |

J. Ryan★
SP
IP
6.0
H
6
ER
2
K
6

K. Funderburk
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
1
K
0

C. Sands
RP
IP
0.2
H
3
ER
2
K
1

L. Garcia
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
2
K
0
IP
9.0
H
12
ER
7
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() J. Ryan★SP | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
![]() K. FunderburkRP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
![]() C. SandsRP | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
![]() L. GarciaRP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 12 | 7 | 7 |
Betting line
SEA -1.5·O/U 8·SEA -126/MIN +104