Matchup orbital

SEA

7

SEA

SEA

15-16

Final

Win prob

57/43

AWAY · HOME

MIN

1

MIN

MIN

13-17

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

SEA 7 · MIN 1 (by 6)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SEA +7pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
SEA0000011327
MIN0000100001

Final play

End of the 9th inning

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Tue, Apr 28Final
SEA

SEA15-16

SEA

@

13-17MIN

MIN

MIN
SeriesSEA wins series 2-1VegasSEA -126

Recap · MLB

eattle Mariners went into Minnesota Twins and beat them, 7–1. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 6). Total pushed exactly on 8.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
SEA
SEAWIN15-167
FINAL
MIN
MIN13-171

Current series

SEA wins series 2-1

Apr 27SEASEA4@MINMIN11
Apr 28SEASEA7@MINMIN1today
Apr 29SEASEA5@MINMIN3

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 27SEASEA4@MINMIN11
Apr 28SEASEA7@MINMIN1today
Apr 29SEASEA5@MINMIN3
Aug 1MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming
Aug 1MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming
Aug 2MINMIN@SEASEAupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

SEASEA-12656%
MINMIN+10449%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSEA MIN

Biggest swing: 19pp · Top 7th Inning

SEASEA
J. Naylor

J. Naylor

1B

Batter of the game

3-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.800 OPS

L. Gilbert

L. Gilbert

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 4 K · 1 ER · 6 H · 1 BB

MINMIN
B. Buxton

B. Buxton

CF

Batter of the game

2-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.400 OPS

J. Ryan

J. Ryan

SP

Starting pitcher

6.0 IP · 6 K · 2 ER · 6 H · 1 BB

How it ended

SEA beat MIN 7-1. Young's play in the top 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (19pp).

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

MIN vs SEA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

SEA7
MIN1

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
SEATop 6th Inning · 1-1
+15pp45% WP

Naylor · singled to left, Rodríguez scored.

SEATop 7th Inning · 1-1
+15pp58% WP

Arozarena · doubled to center.

SEATop 7th Inning · 2-1
+19pp64% WP

Young · singled to left, Arozarena scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
SEA0000011327
MIN0000100001

Period scoring

SEA won 4 · MIN won 1

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
0

Inn 4

0
1

Inn 5

Buxton 1

1
0

Inn 6

Naylor 1

1
0

Inn 7

Young 1

3
0

Inn 8

Naylor 3

2
0

Inn 9

Rodr 2

SEA
MIN

Game flow · key plays

  1. T8

    Naylor homered to right (390 feet), Crawford scored and Rodríguez scored.

    SEA 5·MIN 1

    13pp

  2. T7

    Young singled to left, Arozarena scored.

    SEA 2·MIN 1

    19pp

  3. T7

    Garver popped out to shortstop.

    SEA 1·MIN 1

    +11pp

  4. T7

    Arozarena doubled to center.

    SEA 1·MIN 1

    15pp

  5. T6

    Naylor singled to left, Rodríguez scored.

    SEA 1·MIN 1

    15pp

  6. B5

    Buxton homered to left (389 feet).

    SEA 0·MIN 1

    +14pp

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

12

Hits

7

1

Errors

0

7

Runs

1

Player box score

SEA

SEA

15-16

7
J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford

SS

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Raleigh

C. Raleigh

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Rodriguez

J. Rodriguez

CF

OPS

1.200

H-AB

3-5

R

2

RBI

2

HR

0

J. Naylor

J. Naylor

1B

OPS

1.800

H-AB

3-5

R

1

RBI

4

HR

1

R. Arozarena

R. Arozarena

LF

OPS

1.417

H-AB

2-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Raley

L. Raley

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Canzone

D. Canzone

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Young

C. Young

2B

OPS

1.500

H-AB

3-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

L. Rivas

L. Rivas

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Garver

M. Garver

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

12-37

R

7

RBI

7

HR

1

L. Gilbert

L. Gilbert

SP

IP

5.0

H

6

ER

1

K

4

E. Bazardo

E. Bazardo

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

0

G. Speier

G. Speier

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

M. Brash

M. Brash

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

C. Criswell

C. Criswell

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

9.0

H

7

ER

1

K

7

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 8·SEA -126/MIN +104

DraftKings · via ESPN