Matchup orbital

CHW

7

CHW

CHW

9-15

Final

Win prob

38/62

AWAY · HOME

ARI

11

ARI

ARI

14-10

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

ARI wins

CHW 7 · ARI 11 (by 4)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked ARI +12pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
CHW2011012007
ARI0422021011

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Wed, Apr 22Final
CHW

CHW9-15

CHW

@

14-10ARI

ARI

ARI
SeriesCHW win series 2-1VegasARI -149

Recap · MLB

rizona Diamondbacks held off Chicago White Sox, 11–7.

ARI -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 9.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
CHW
CHW9-157
FINAL
ARI
ARIWIN14-1011

Current series

CHW win series 2-1

Apr 22CHWCHW11@ARIARI5
Apr 23CHWCHW7@ARIARI11today
Apr 23CHWCHW4@ARIARI1

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 22CHWCHW11@ARIARI5
Apr 23CHWCHW7@ARIARI11today
Apr 23CHWCHW4@ARIARI1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ARI -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CHWCHW+12345%
ARIARI-14960%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet ARI -1.5↗SpreadBet ARI -1.5↗

Line movement · 3 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCHW ↔ ARI

Biggest swing: 17pp · Bottom 2nd Inning

CHWCHW
M. Vargas

M. Vargas

3B

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.850 OPS

A. Kay

A. Kay

SP

Starting pitcher

3.2 IP · 1 K · 8 ER · 8 H · 3 BB

ARIARI
N. Arenado

N. Arenado

3B

Batter of the gamePerfect day

4-for-4 · 1 HR · 2.750 OPS

E. Rodriguez

E. Rodriguez

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 6 H · 3 BB

How it ended

ARI beat CHW 11-7.

Win probability

ARI vs CHW

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

1 lead change

CHW7
ARI11

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
ARIBottom 2nd Inning · 2-3
+17pp→ 80% WP

Vargas · homered to left (420 feet), Fernandez scored and Arenado scored.

CHWTop 3rd Inning · 3-4
+9pp→ 24% WP

Vargas · homered to left center (428 feet).

ARIBottom 3rd Inning · 3-6
+10pp→ 91% WP

Vargas · homered to left center (405 feet), Arenado scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
CHW2011012007
ARI04220210—11

Period scoring

CHW won 2 · ARI won 4

2
0

Inn 1

Quero 1

0
4

Inn 2

Vargas 3

1
2

Inn 3

Vargas 1

Vargas 2

1
2

Inn 4

Montgomery 1

Jr. 1

0
0

Inn 5

1
2

Inn 6

Benintendi 1

Arenado 2

2
1

Inn 7

Murakami 2

Perdomo 1

0
0

Inn 8

0

Inn 9

CHW
ARI

Game flow · key plays

  1. B3

    Vargas homered to left center (405 feet), Arenado scored.

    CHW 3·ARI 6

    +10pp

  2. T3

    Vargas homered to left center (428 feet).

    CHW 3·ARI 4

    −9pp

  3. B2

    Vargas homered to left (420 feet), Fernandez scored and Arenado scored.

    CHW 2·ARI 3

    +17pp

  4. B2

    Arenado singled to left, Fernandez to third.

    CHW 2·ARI 0

    +8pp

  5. T1

    Quero walked, Meidroth scored, Pereira to second, Vargas to third.

    CHW 1·ARI 0

    −9pp

  6. T1

    Vargas singled to center, Meidroth to third.

    CHW 0·ARI 0

    −8pp

Team stats

CHW

Away

Stat

ARI

Home

11

Hits

16

0

Errors

0

7

Runs

11

Player box score

CHW

CHW

9-15

7
C. Meidroth

C. Meidroth★

2B

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Vargas

M. Vargas★

3B

OPS

1.850

H-AB

2-4

R

3

RBI

1

HR

1

M. Murakami

M. Murakami★

1B

OPS

1.800

H-AB

3-5

R

1

RBI

2

HR

1

E. Pereira

E. Pereira★

RF

OPS

1.100

H-AB

2-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

E. Quero

E. Quero★

C

OPS

0.400

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

C. Montgomery

C. Montgomery★

SS

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

2

HR

1

T. Murray

T. Murray★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Hill

D. Hill★

RF

OPS

0.500

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Acuna

L. Acuna★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Antonacci

S. Antonacci

LF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Peters

T. Peters

CF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Benintendi

A. Benintendi

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

11-37

R

7

RBI

7

HR

3

A. Kay

A. Kay★

SP

IP

3.2

H

8

ER

8

K

1

J. Hicks

J. Hicks

RP

IP

0.1

H

1

ER

0

K

0

B. Hudson

B. Hudson

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

2

L. Sims

L. Sims

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

2

K

2

S. Newcomb

S. Newcomb

RP

IP

2.0

H

4

ER

1

K

0

Team total

IP

8.0

H

16

ER

11

K

5

Betting line

ARI -1.5·O/U 9·CHW +123/ARI -149

DraftKings · via ESPN