Matchup orbital
2
PHI
PHI
8-16
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
7
CHC
CHC
15-9
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHC wins
PHI 2 · CHC 7 (by 5)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CHC +11pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CHC | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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PHI8-16
PHI
15-9CHC
CHC
Recap · MLB
hicago Cubs held off Philadelphia Phillies, 7–2.
CHC -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
CHC win series 4-0
PHI1@CHC5PHI4@CHC7PHI2@CHC7todayPHI7@CHC8Season series
CHC lead series 5-1
CHC7@PHI13CHC10@PHI4CHC11@PHI2PHI1@CHC5PHI4@CHC7PHI2@CHC7todayPHI7@CHC8Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CHC -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
PHI+15939%CHC-19366%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 15pp · Top 2nd Inning
PHI
E. Sosa
2BBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-2 · 2.000 OPS
A. Rangel
RPTop reliever
3.0 IP · 5 K · 1 ER · 3 H
CHC
S. Suzuki
RFBatter of the game
2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.750 OPS
M. Boyd
SPStarting pitcher
4.2 IP · 5 K · 2 ER · 5 H
How it ended
CHC beat PHI 7-2.
Win probability
CHC vs PHI
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactSosa · doubled to left, Reyes scored, Bohm to third.
Crow-Armstrong · doubled to center, Amaya scored.
Bregman · tripled to center.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CHC | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 7 |
Period scoring
PHI won 1 · CHC won 4
Inn 1
Happ 1
Inn 2
Sosa 1
Crow-Armstrong 1
Inn 3
Happ 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Suzuki 2
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Crow-Armstrong 1
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B5
Suzuki homered to center (388 feet), Happ scored.
PHI 2·CHC 6
+7pp
- T5
Schwarber grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Marchán out at second.
PHI 2·CHC 4
+8pp
- B3
Busch homered to left center (375 feet).
PHI 2·CHC 4
+8pp
- B3
Bregman tripled to center.
PHI 2·CHC 2
+9pp
- B2
Crow-Armstrong doubled to center, Amaya scored.
PHI 2·CHC 2
+12pp
- T2
Sosa doubled to left, Reyes scored, Bohm to third.
PHI 1·CHC 1
−15pp
Team stats
PHI
Away
Stat
CHC
Home
9
Hits
13
1
Errors
1
2
Runs
7
Player box score
PHI
8-16
K. Schwarber★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Turner★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Harper★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
F. Reyes★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Garcia★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Bohm★
3B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Sosa★
2B
OPS
2.000
H-AB
2-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Crawford★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
R. Marchan★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Stott
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
9-36
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Schwarber★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
T. Turner★SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
B. Harper★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
F. Reyes★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Garcia★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. Bohm★3B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
E. Sosa★2B | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.000 |
J. Crawford★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. Marchan★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
B. Stott2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 9-36 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
K. Backhus★
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
1
K
1
T. Walker
SP
IP
4.0
H
8
ER
4
K
1
A. Rangel
RP
IP
3.0
H
3
ER
1
K
5
IP
8.0
H
13
ER
6
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Backhus★RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
T. WalkerSP | 4.0 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
A. RangelRP | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| Team | 8.0 | 13 | 6 | 7 |
CHC
15-9
N. Hoerner★
2B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Bregman★
3B
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
I. Happ★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
0
S. Suzuki★
RF
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
M. Busch★
1B
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
D. Swanson★
SS
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Ballesteros★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Amaya★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
P. Crow-Armstrong★
CF
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0
H-AB
13-37
R
7
RBI
7
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N. Hoerner★2B | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
A. Bregman★3B | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.200 |
I. Happ★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
S. Suzuki★RF | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.750 |
M. Busch★1B | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.750 |
D. Swanson★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
M. Ballesteros★C | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
M. Amaya★C | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
P. Crow-Armstrong★CF | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1.500 |
| Team | 13-37 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — |
M. Boyd★
SP
IP
4.2
H
5
ER
2
K
5
B. Brown
RP
IP
2.1
H
3
ER
0
K
5
C. Martin
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
H. Milner
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
2
K
12
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Boyd★SP | 4.2 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
B. BrownRP | 2.1 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
C. MartinRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
H. MilnerRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
Betting line
CHC -1.5·O/U 7.5·PHI +159/CHC -193