Matchup orbital

4
NYY
NYY
15-9
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

1
BOS
BOS
9-15
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
NYY wins
NYY 4 · BOS 1 (by 3)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked NYY +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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NYY15-9
NYY
9-15BOS
BOS

Recap · MLB
ew York Yankees went into Boston Red Sox and beat them, 4–1.
NYY -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
NYY win series 3-0
NYY4@
BOS0
NYY4@
BOS1today
NYY4@
BOS2Season series
NYY lead series 2-0
NYY4@
BOS0
NYY4@
BOS1today
NYY4@
BOS2
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
NYY@
BOSupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcoming
BOS@
NYYupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NYY -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NYY-13157%
BOS+10948%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 24pp · Top 1st Inning
NYY
A. Rosario
3BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 HR · 5.000 OPS

M. Fried
SPStarting pitcherGem
8.0 IP · 9 K · 0 ER · 3 H · 2 BB
BOS
J. Duran
LFBatter of the game
3-for-4 · 1.500 OPS

R. Suarez
SPStarting pitcher
4.2 IP · 4 K · 4 ER · 5 H · 2 BB
How it ended
NYY beat BOS 4-1. Rosario's play in the top 1st inning drove the biggest swing of the night (24pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
BOS vs NYY
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactRosario · homered to left center (416 feet), Judge scored and Stanton scored.
Duran · doubled to left, Monasterio to third.
Judge · singled to left.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Period scoring
NYY won 2 · BOS won 1
Inn 1
Rosario 3
Inn 2
Inn 3
Rosario 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Duran 1
Game flow · key plays
Stanton doubled to left, Judge to third.
NYY 3·BOS 0
−4pp
Judge singled to left.
NYY 3·BOS 0
−6pp
Wong struck out swinging.
NYY 3·BOS 0
−7pp
Durbin struck out swinging.
NYY 3·BOS 0
−6pp
Duran doubled to left, Monasterio to third.
NYY 3·BOS 0
+10pp
Rosario homered to left center (416 feet), Judge scored and Stanton scored.
NYY 3·BOS 0
−24pp
Team stats
NYY
Away
Stat
BOS
Home
6
Hits
5
0
Errors
0
4
Runs
1
Player box score

NYY
15-9

P. Goldschmidt★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Judge★
RF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-2
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Bellinger★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

G. Stanton★
DH
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Rosario★
3B
OPS
5.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
4
HR
1

R. Grichuk★
LF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Chisholm Jr.★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Caballero★
SS
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Wells★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Rice
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

R. McMahon
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Grisham
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-31
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() P. Goldschmidt★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. Judge★RF | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.250 |
![]() C. Bellinger★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() G. Stanton★DH | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() A. Rosario★3B | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5.000 |
![]() R. Grichuk★LF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Chisholm Jr.★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Caballero★SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() A. Wells★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() B. Rice1B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() R. McMahon3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. GrishamCF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 6-31 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |

M. Fried★
SP
IP
8.0
H
3
ER
0
K
9

B. Headrick
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
1
K
0
IP
9.0
H
5
ER
1
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() M. Fried★SP | 8.0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
![]() B. HeadrickRP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |

BOS
9-15

C. Rafaela★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Contreras★
1B
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

W. Abreu★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Story★
SS
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Monasterio★
SS
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Duran★
LF
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

C. Durbin★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Wong★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

I. Kiner-Falefa★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
5-32
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() C. Rafaela★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() W. Contreras★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() W. Abreu★RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() T. Story★SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() A. Monasterio★SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
![]() J. Duran★LF | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.500 |
![]() C. Durbin★3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Wong★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() I. Kiner-Falefa★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 5-32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |

R. Suarez★
SP
IP
4.2
H
5
ER
4
K
4

Z. Kelly
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
E. Rivera
SP
IP
3.1
H
1
ER
0
K
3
IP
9.0
H
6
ER
4
K
9
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() R. Suarez★SP | 4.2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
![]() Z. KellyRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
E. RiveraSP | 3.1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
Betting line
NYY -1.5·O/U 7.5·NYY -131/BOS +109