Matchup orbital

TB

8

TB

TB

12-8

Final

Win prob

45/55

AWAY · HOME

PIT

7

PIT

PIT

12-9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

TB wins

TB 8 · PIT 7 (by 1)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked PIT +5pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team12345678910111213R
TB00005000001028
PIT20020001001017

Final play

“End of the 13th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Sat, Apr 18Final
TB

TB12-8

TB

@

12-9PIT

PIT

PIT
SeriesPIT wins series 2-1VegasPIT -161

Recap · MLB

ampa Bay Rays went into Pittsburgh Pirates and beat them, 8–7. It came down to the final possession.

TB +1.5 cashed (PIT lost outright). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 7.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal/13
TB
TBWIN12-88
FINAL
PIT
PIT12-97

Current series

PIT wins series 2-1

Apr 17TBTB1@PITPIT5
Apr 18TBTB8@PITPIT7today
Apr 19TBTB3@PITPIT6

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 17TBTB1@PITPIT5
Apr 18TBTB8@PITPIT7today
Apr 19TBTB3@PITPIT6

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PIT -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

TBTB+13343%
PITPIT-16162%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗SpreadBet PIT -1.5↗

Line movement

1 snapshot on file

Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.

Headlines · top performers

Game flowTB ↔ PIT

Biggest swing: 37pp · Top 13th Inning

TBTB
C. Mullins

C. Mullins

CF

Batter of the game

2-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.400 OPS

D. Rasmussen

D. Rasmussen

SP

Starting pitcher

3.2 IP · 3 K · 4 ER · 2 H · 2 BB

PITPIT
R. O'Hearn

R. O'Hearn

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS

P. Skenes

P. Skenes

SP

Starting pitcher

4.0 IP · 5 K · 0 ER · 3 H

How it ended

TB beat PIT 8-7. Mullins's play in the top 13th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (37pp).

Last play

End of the 13th inning

Win probability

PIT vs TB

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9I10I11I12I13

Score progression

0 lead changes

TB8
PIT7

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
PITBottom 8th Inning · 5-5
+33pp→ 62% WP

Yorke · singled to right, Lowe scored, Cook to third.

TBTop 11th Inning · 6-5
+35pp→ 60% WP

Simpson · reached on infield single to second.

TBTop 13th Inning · 8-6
+37pp→ 82% WP

Mullins · homered to right center (403 feet), DeLuca scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team12345678910111213R
TB00005000001028
PIT20020001001017

Period scoring

TB won 2 · PIT won 3

0
2

Inn 1

O'Hearn 2

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

0
2

Inn 4

Ozuna 2

5
0

Inn 5

DeLuca 2

0
0

Inn 6

0
0

Inn 7

0
1

Inn 8

Yorke 1

0
0

Inn 9

0
0

Inn 10

1
1

Inn 11

Simpson 1

Griffin 1

0
0

Inn 12

2
1

Inn 13

Mullins 2

Griffin 1

TB
PIT

Game flow · key plays

  1. T13

    Mullins homered to right center (403 feet), DeLuca scored.

    TB 8·PIT 6

    −37pp

  2. B11

    Griffin grounded into fielder's choice to second, Yorke scored.

    TB 6·PIT 6

    +24pp

  3. T11

    Simpson reached on infield single to second.

    TB 6·PIT 5

    −35pp

  4. B8

    Yorke singled to right, Lowe scored, Cook to third.

    TB 5·PIT 5

    +33pp

  5. T5

    DeLuca doubled to center, Díaz scored and Aranda scored.

    TB 4·PIT 4

    −21pp

  6. B2

    Yorke grounded out to shortstop.

    TB 0·PIT 2

    +22pp

Team stats

TB

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

15

Hits

7

0

Errors

2

8

Runs

7

Player box score

TB

TB

12-8

8
C. Simpson

C. Simpson★

LF

OPS

0.571

H-AB

2-7

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Caminero

J. Caminero★

3B

OPS

0.571

H-AB

2-7

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Aranda

J. Aranda★

1B

OPS

1.100

H-AB

2-4

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

Y. Diaz

Y. Diaz★

1B

OPS

0.533

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Fraley

J. Fraley★

RF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Mullins

C. Mullins★

CF

OPS

1.400

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

3

HR

1

R. Palacios

R. Palacios★

2B

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

H. Feduccia

H. Feduccia★

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

0-1

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Walls

T. Walls★

SS

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-6

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

R. Vilade

R. Vilade

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. DeLuca

J. DeLuca

RF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

2

HR

0

B. Williamson

B. Williamson

2B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Fortes

N. Fortes

C

OPS

1.167

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

15-50

R

8

RBI

7

HR

1

D. Rasmussen

D. Rasmussen★

SP

IP

3.2

H

2

ER

4

K

3

M. Englert

M. Englert

RP

IP

0.2

H

0

ER

0

K

0

I. Seymour

I. Seymour

RP

IP

1.2

H

2

ER

0

K

3

H. Bigge

H. Bigge

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

B. Baker

B. Baker

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

1

K

2

C. Sulser

C. Sulser

RP

IP

1.1

H

0

ER

0

K

1

K. Kelly

K. Kelly

RP

IP

1.2

H

0

ER

0

K

2

G. Jax

G. Jax

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

Y. Gomez

Y. Gomez

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

13.0

H

7

ER

5

K

14

Betting line

PIT -1.5·O/U 7.5·TB +133/PIT -161

DraftKings · via ESPN