Matchup orbital

4
KC
KC
7-14
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

13
NYY
NYY
12-9
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
NYY wins
KC 4 · NYY 13 (by 9)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked NYY +12pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 |
What's next
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KC7-14
KC
12-9NYY
NYY

Recap · MLB
ew York Yankees held off Kansas City Royals, 13–4. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
NYY -1.5 cashed (won by 9). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 9.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
NYY win series 3-0
KC2@
NYY4
KC4@
NYY13today
KC0@
NYY7Season series
NYY lead series 2-0
KC2@
NYY4
KC4@
NYY13today
KC0@
NYY7
NYY@
KCupcoming
NYY@
KCupcoming
NYY@
KCupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NYY -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
KC+13942%
NYY-16963%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 12pp · Bottom 3rd Inning
KC
C. Jensen
CBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.417 OPS

N. Cameron
SPStarting pitcher
4.0 IP · 3 K · 5 ER · 7 H · 2 BB
NYY
C. Bellinger
LFBatter of the game2-HR game
3-for-4 · 2 HR · 3.050 OPS

W. Warren
SPStarting pitcher11-K game
7.0 IP · 11 K · 2 ER · 5 H
How it ended
NYY beat KC 13-4.
Win probability
NYY vs KC
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactRosario · homered to left center (390 feet), Escarra scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| NYY | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 13 |
Period scoring
KC won 0 · NYY won 4
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Rosario 2
Inn 4
Escarra 1
Inn 5
Inn 6
Bellinger 2
Inn 7
Jensen 2
Escarra 2
Inn 8
Grichuk 1
Inn 9
Massey 2
Game flow · key plays
Bellinger homered to right (385 feet), Judge scored.
KC 0·NYY 4
+8pp
Rosario homered to left center (390 feet), Escarra scored.
KC 0·NYY 2
+12pp
Escarra to third on fielding error by center fielder Isbel.
KC 0·NYY 0
+7pp
Caglianone flied out to center.
KC 0·NYY 0
+3pp
Pasquantino struck out looking.
KC 0·NYY 0
+4pp
Witt Jr. struck out swinging.
KC 0·NYY 0
+4pp
Team stats
KC
Away
Stat
NYY
Home
7
Hits
11
1
Errors
0
4
Runs
13
Player box score

KC
7-14

M. Garcia★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Witt Jr.★
SS
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

V. Pasquantino★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Caglianone★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Jensen★
C
OPS
2.417
H-AB
2-3
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1

M. Massey★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
2
HR
0

I. Collins★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Thomas★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Isbel★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

T. Tolbert
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-33
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() M. Garcia★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() B. Witt Jr.★SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() V. Pasquantino★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Caglianone★RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() C. Jensen★C | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2.417 |
![]() M. Massey★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() I. Collins★LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() L. Thomas★CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() K. Isbel★CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() T. TolbertLF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 7-33 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |

N. Cameron★
SP
IP
4.0
H
7
ER
5
K
3

M. Spence
RP
IP
4.0
H
4
ER
6
K
3
IP
8.0
H
11
ER
11
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() N. Cameron★SP | 4.0 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
![]() M. SpenceRP | 4.0 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Team | 8.0 | 11 | 11 | 6 |

NYY
12-9

A. Rosario★
3B
OPS
1.400
H-AB
2-5
R
2
RBI
3
HR
1

A. Judge★
RF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Bellinger★
LF
OPS
3.050
H-AB
3-4
R
2
RBI
5
HR
2

G. Stanton★
DH
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

B. Rice★
1B
OPS
1.933
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

R. Grichuk★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0

J. Chisholm Jr.★
2B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Caballero★
SS
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
3
RBI
0
HR
0

J.C. Escarra★
C
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
3
HR
0
H-AB
11-35
R
13
RBI
13
HR
4
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() A. Rosario★3B | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1.400 |
![]() A. Judge★RF | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() C. Bellinger★LF | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3.050 |
![]() G. Stanton★DH | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() B. Rice★1B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.933 |
![]() R. Grichuk★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() J. Chisholm Jr.★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
![]() J. Caballero★SS | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J.C. Escarra★C | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Team | 11-35 | 13 | 13 | 4 | — |

W. Warren★
SP
IP
7.0
H
5
ER
2
K
11

P. Blackburn
RP
IP
2.0
H
2
ER
2
K
1
IP
9.0
H
7
ER
4
K
12
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() W. Warren★SP | 7.0 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
![]() P. BlackburnRP | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
Betting line
NYY -1.5·O/U 8·KC +139/NYY -169