MLBBot 2
LAA 0@ATH 0
+1.8ppmedium
MLBTop 2
MIN 0@ARI 0
-3.1pphigh
MLBBot 6
SD 6@TEX 7
+40.7ppmedium
MLBMid 7
CLE 3@HOU 5
+50.5pplow
MLBMid 7
PIT 0@COL 2
+56.9pplow
MLBTop 7
STL 2@KC 6
+47.9pplow
WNBA8:45 - 1st
MIN 3@GS 2
-0.7ppmedium
CHAMPION · NBANew York Knicks win the NBA Finals 4-1
CHAMPION · NHLCarolina Hurricanes win the Stanley Cup Final 4-2
TONIGHTGraded picks 2-1 so far (MLB 2-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBB. Woo (SEA): 7.0 IP · 9 K in a win over BAL — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBG. Jump (ATH): 7.0 IP · 7 K in a win over LAA
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 7.1 IP · 8 K · 1 ER in a win over NYY
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Designated INF/OF Miles Mastrobuoni for assignment (Jun 19)
TRANSACTION · MLBAthletics: Agreed to terms with RHP Andrew Bush on a minor league contract (Jun 19)
TRANSACTION · MLBMets: Sent SS Francisco Lindor and OF Tyron Taylor on rehab assignments to Binghamton (EL…
MLBBot 2
LAA 0@ATH 0
+1.8ppmedium
MLBTop 2
MIN 0@ARI 0
-3.1pphigh
MLBBot 6
SD 6@TEX 7
+40.7ppmedium
MLBMid 7
CLE 3@HOU 5
+50.5pplow
MLBMid 7
PIT 0@COL 2
+56.9pplow
MLBTop 7
STL 2@KC 6
+47.9pplow
WNBA8:45 - 1st
MIN 3@GS 2
-0.7ppmedium
CHAMPION · NBANew York Knicks win the NBA Finals 4-1
CHAMPION · NHLCarolina Hurricanes win the Stanley Cup Final 4-2
TONIGHTGraded picks 2-1 so far (MLB 2-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBB. Woo (SEA): 7.0 IP · 9 K in a win over BAL — Standout Index 91
LAST NIGHT · MLBG. Jump (ATH): 7.0 IP · 7 K in a win over LAA
LAST NIGHT · MLBS. Burke (CHW): 7.1 IP · 8 K · 1 ER in a win over NYY
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Designated INF/OF Miles Mastrobuoni for assignment (Jun 19)
TRANSACTION · MLBAthletics: Agreed to terms with RHP Andrew Bush on a minor league contract (Jun 19)
TRANSACTION · MLBMets: Sent SS Francisco Lindor and OF Tyron Taylor on rehab assignments to Binghamton (EL…
HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
  • NHL logo
  • NBA logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
Fantasy Usage Receipts

Bo Nix

QB · DEN
Fantasy Points / Game
PPR fantasy points actually scored per game.
18.4
85th pct
Expected Points / Game
Fantasy points an average player would score from this exact usage (ff_opportunity).
19.4
89th pct
Points Over Expected / Game
Actual minus expected — production above (or below) what the usage was worth.
-1.0
44th pct
Target Share
Share of the team's targets earned while on the field.
0.0%
48th pct
Air Yards Share
Share of the team's downfield passing yards thrown his way.
0.0%
50th pct
WOPR
Weighted Opportunity Rating — target share and air-yards share combined into one usage number.
0.00
47th pct

2025 season · 18 games · ranked vs 63 qualified QBs (4+ games). Realized per-game usage from nflverse ff_opportunity; shares computed by The One Analytics. Receipts of what happened — not projections.

← All usage receipts

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Fantasy football
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Calibration Grade
  • Free tools & calculators
  • Matchup Predictor
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

68%Last 7 · 67-31
61%Last 30 · 294-187
Receipts →