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FINAL+1VAN
VAN

VAN

16-19-3

32
SEA

SEA

16-14-7

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 29FinalSeriesVAN leads series 1-0VegasVAN -118

Recap · NHL

ancouver Canucks went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 3–2.

SEA +1.5 cashed (VAN won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · Vancouver Canucks at Seattle Kraken · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
3
2
VAN16-19-3SEA16-14-7
VAN

VAN

16-19-3

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
SEA

SEA

16-14-7

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

17

PIM

9

Season series

VAN leads series 1-0

Dec 30VANVAN3@SEASEA2today
Jan 3SEASEA4@VANVAN3
Mar 1VANVAN1@SEASEA5
Mar 15SEASEA5@VANVAN2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VAN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

VANVAN-11854%
SEASEA-10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

VAN beat SEA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
VAN110013
SEA200002

Period scoring

VAN won 2 · SEA won 1

1
2

1

1
0

2

0
0

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

VAN
SEA

Play-by-play · 345 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    VAN 1·SEA 0

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    VAN 1·SEA 0

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    VAN 1·SEA 0

  4. SO·0:00

    Liam Ohgren Goal Wrist Shot

    VAN 1·SEA 0

  5. SO·0:00

    Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    VAN 1·SEA 0

  6. SO·0:00

    Elias Pettersson failed shot attempt on Joey Daccord

    · ·

    VAN 1·SEA 0

  7. SO·0:00

    Eeli Tolvanen Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    VAN 0·SEA 0

  8. SO·0:00

    Conor Garland Backhand saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    VAN 0·SEA 0

  9. SO·0:00

    Freddy Gaudreau Backhand saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    VAN 0·SEA 0

  10. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    VAN 0·SEA 0

  11. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  12. OT·4:54

    Vince Dunn Snap Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  13. OT·4:29

    Aatu Raty faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  14. OT·4:29

    Goalie Stopped

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  15. OT·4:27

    Eeli Tolvanen Slap Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  16. OT·3:56

    Elias Pettersson Snap Shot Wide Left

    · ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  17. OT·3:55

    Elias Pettersson Snap Shot Wide Left

    · ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  18. OT·3:47

    Jordan Eberle shot blocked by Filip Hronek

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  19. OT·3:20

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Elias Pettersson

    · ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  20. OT·3:20

    Evander Kane Tripping against Cale Fleury

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  21. OT·2:41

    Shane Wright Wrist Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  22. OT·2:17

    Giveaway by Brock Boeser

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  23. OT·0:00

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Aatu Raty

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  24. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  25. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  26. 3rd·19:32

    Kiefer Sherwood shot blocked by Eeli Tolvanen

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  27. 3rd·19:27

    Kiefer Sherwood shot blocked by Ryan Lindgren

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  28. 3rd·18:56

    Adam Larsson Slap Shot saved by Kevin Lankinen

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  29. 3rd·18:53

    Matty Beniers shot blocked by Brock Boeser

    ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

  30. 3rd·18:46

    Elias Pettersson hit Kaapo Kakko

    · ·

    VAN 2·SEA 2

Team stats

VAN

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

24

Shots

39

0.0

PCT

16.7

17

PIM

9

35

Faceoffs W

29

15

Blocks

17

12

Giveaways

14

5

Takeaways

3

Betting line

VAN -1.5·O/U 5.5·VAN -118/SEA -102

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock BoeserVAN · RW
    SHOT MPH96.498
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Filip HronekVAN · D
    DIST MI292.398
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496
  • Nils HoglanderVAN · LW
    SHOT MPH93.694

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-102

Close price

-102

Open no-vig

48.3%

Close no-vig

48.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

SEA vs VAN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Jake DeBruskVAN
    3.1± 2.4high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    3.0± 1.8high
  • Brandon MontourSEA
    3.0± 1.3high

Goals

  • Jake DeBruskVAN
    0.5± 0.7high
  • Brock BoeserVAN
    0.4± 1.0high
  • Bobby McMannSEA
    0.3± 0.5high

Points

  • Brock BoeserVAN
    0.9± 1.3high
  • Filip HronekVAN
    0.7± 0.6high
  • Jake DeBruskVAN
    0.7± 0.6high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR