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FINAL+1NSH
NSH

NSH

17-17-4

43
UTA

UTA

18-19-3

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 29FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasUTAH -142

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into Utah Mammoth and beat them, 4–3.

NSH +1.5 cashed (UTA lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Steven Stamkos

Steven Stamkos

C · #91

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

UTA
Dylan Guenther

Dylan Guenther

RW · #11

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Utah Mammoth · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
3
NSH17-17-4UTA18-19-3
NSH

NSH

17-17-4

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
UTA

UTA

18-19-3

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

4

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 12UTAUTA3@NSHNSH2
Dec 30NSHNSH4@UTAUTA3today
Jan 24UTAUTA5@NSHNSH2
Apr 10NSHNSH1@UTAUTA4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+12045%
UTAUTA-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat UTA 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NSH1124
UTA1113

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · UTA won 0

1
1

1

1
1

2

2
1

3

NSH
UTA

Play-by-play · 333 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  3. 3rd·19:56

    Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Steven Stamkos

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  4. 3rd·19:54

    Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  5. 3rd·19:54

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  6. 3rd·19:51

    Dylan Guenther Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  7. 3rd·19:46

    Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  8. 3rd·19:31

    Erik Haula Snap Shot Wide Left

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  9. 3rd·19:27

    Sean Durzi shot blocked by Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  10. 3rd·19:24

    Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  11. 3rd·19:24

    Icing

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  12. 3rd·19:18

    Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  13. 3rd·18:59

    Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  14. 3rd·18:59

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  15. 3rd·18:57

    Mikhail Sergachev Slap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  16. 3rd·17:15

    Giveaway by Erik Haula

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  17. 3rd·17:14

    Giveaway by Michael Carcone

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  18. 3rd·16:59

    JJ Peterka Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  19. 3rd·16:54

    Michael McCarron shot blocked by Sean Durzi

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  20. 3rd·16:50

    Cole Smith Backhand Wide Left

    · ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  21. 3rd·16:07

    Dylan Guenther Slap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  22. 3rd·15:40

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  23. 3rd·15:40

    Timeout - Home

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  24. 3rd·15:40

    Nick Perbix Cross-checking against Nick Schmaltz

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  25. 3rd·15:37

    Nick Schmaltz Backhand saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  26. 3rd·15:22

    Takeaway by Clayton Keller

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  27. 3rd·15:04

    JJ Peterka Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  28. 3rd·14:05

    Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  29. 3rd·14:05

    TV Timeout

    NSH 4·UTA 3

  30. 3rd·14:05

    Brady Skjei Tripping against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    NSH 4·UTA 3

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

26

Shots

31

50.0

PCT

25.0

8

PIM

4

33

Faceoffs W

37

19

Blocks

16

10

Giveaways

15

4

Takeaways

3

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH +120/UTA -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Nick BlankenburgCOL · D
    SKATE MPH22.591
  • Roman JosiNSH · D
    DIST MI245.490

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · UTA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-142

Close price

-142

Open no-vig

56.3%

Close no-vig

56.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR