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FINAL+3CBJ
CBJ

CBJ

17-15-6

41
OTT

OTT

18-15-5

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 29FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasOTT -218

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into Ottawa Senators and beat them, 4–1.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (OTT lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Charlie Coyle

Charlie Coyle

C · #3

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

OTT · top performer

OTT
Tim Stutzle

Tim Stutzle

C · #18

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
1
CBJ17-15-6OTT18-15-5
CBJ

CBJ

17-15-6

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
OTT

OTT

18-15-5

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

13

PIM

11

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 12OTTOTT6@CBJCBJ3
Dec 30CBJCBJ4@OTTOTT1today
Jan 21OTTOTT4@CBJCBJ1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJCBJ+18036%
OTTOTT-21869%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat OTT 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CBJ1124
OTT0101

Period scoring

CBJ won 2 · OTT won 0

1
0

1

1
1

2

2
0

3

CBJ
OTT

Play-by-play · 308 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  3. 3rd·19:50

    Brady Tkachuk Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  4. 3rd·19:31

    Miles Wood hit Shane Pinto

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  5. 3rd·19:06

    Drake Batherson Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  6. 3rd·18:47

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Brady Tkachuk

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  7. 3rd·18:47

    Icing

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  8. 3rd·18:44

    Mason Marchment Backhand Wide Right

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  9. 3rd·18:40

    Fabian Zetterlund hit Adam Fantilli

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  10. 3rd·17:51

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Dylan Cozens

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  11. 3rd·17:51

    High Stick

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  12. 3rd·17:48

    Mason Marchment shot blocked by Thomas Chabot

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  13. 3rd·17:37

    Ridly Greig Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  14. 3rd·17:30

    Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Ridly Greig

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  15. 3rd·17:29

    Tim Stützle hit Denton Mateychuk

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  16. 3rd·17:18

    Giveaway by Tim Stützle

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  17. 3rd·17:07

    Shane Pinto shot blocked by Dante Fabbro

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  18. 3rd·16:56

    Charlie Coyle shot blocked by Jake Sanderson

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  19. 3rd·16:31

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Brady Tkachuk

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  20. 3rd·16:31

    Icing

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  21. 3rd·16:28

    Boone Jenner Wrist Shot Wide Left

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  22. 3rd·16:25

    Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  23. 3rd·16:19

    Brady Tkachuk Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  24. 3rd·16:14

    Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  25. 3rd·16:14

    Puck in Crowd

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  26. 3rd·15:54

    Cole Sillinger faceoff won against Dylan Cozens

    ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  27. 3rd·15:54

    Kirill Marchenko Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: Mason Marchment (11), Adam Fantilli (13)

    · ·

    CBJ 4·OTT 1

  28. 3rd·15:42

    Kirill Marchenko hit Tyler Kleven

    ·

    CBJ 3·OTT 1

  29. 3rd·15:35

    Fabian Zetterlund Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·OTT 1

  30. 3rd·15:27

    Fabian Zetterlund Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 3·OTT 1

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

OTT

Home

22

Shots

28

0.0

PCT

0.0

13

PIM

11

30

Faceoffs W

27

16

Blocks

10

20

Giveaways

14

5

Takeaways

3

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ +180/OTT -218

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696
  • Nikolas MatinpaloOTT · D
    SKATE MPH22.592
  • Denton MateychukCBJ · D
    BURSTS7792

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · OTT favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(OTT win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+180

Close price

+180

Open no-vig

34.3%

Close no-vig

34.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR