NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WSH

WSH

20-13-5

20-16-2

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 27FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNJ -120

Recap · NHL

ashington Capitals went into New Jersey Devils and beat them, 4–3 in overtime.

WSH +1.5 cashed (NJ lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WSH · top performer

Aliaksei Protas

C · #21

3Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Jesper Bratt

LW · #63

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

WSH20-13-5

NJ20-16-2

WSH20-13-5NJ20-16-2

WSH

20-13-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

20-16-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 16

NJ3@

WSH2

Dec 28

WSH4@

NJ3today

Mar 20

NJ1@

WSH2

Apr 2

WSH3@

NJ7

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH+10050%

NJ-12055%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WSH beat NJ 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
WSH	1	1	1	1	4
NJ	0	1	2	0	3

Period scoring

WSH won 2 · NJ won 1

WSH

Play-by-play · 312 plays

period

event

player

OT·4:06
Game End
WSH 4·NJ 3
OT·4:06
End of OT
WSH 4·NJ 3
OT·4:06
Jakob Chychrun Goal (15) Batted, assists: Nic Dowd (6), Dylan Strome (21)
· ·
WSH 4·NJ 3
OT·4:03
Jakob Chychrun Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
OT·3:23
Dougie Hamilton Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
OT·2:52
Dylan Strome faceoff won against Luke Glendening
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
OT·2:52
Puck in Netting
WSH 3·NJ 3
OT·2:49
Timo Meier shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
OT·2:32
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Dylan Strome
· ·
WSH 3·NJ 3
OT·1:30
Takeaway by Dawson Mercer
WSH 3·NJ 3
OT·0:00
Dylan Strome faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:58
Dylan Strome faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:58
Goalie Stopped
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:54
Matt Roy Wrist Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:47
Matt Roy Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:39
Anthony Beauvillier Wrap-around saved by Jake Allen
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:04
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·18:04
Icing
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·17:48
Nic Dowd faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·17:48
Goalie Stopped
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·17:45
Arseny Gritsyuk Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·16:50
Dylan Strome faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·16:50
Off-side
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·16:39
Ondrej Palat Snap Shot saved by Logan Thompson
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·15:39
Giveaway by Timo Meier
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·15:34
Jakob Chychrun shot blocked by Timo Meier
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·15:19
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Justin Sourdif
·
WSH 3·NJ 3
3rd·15:19
Goalie Stopped
WSH 3·NJ 3

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·WSH +100/NJ -120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE

John CarlsonANA · D
SHOT MPH102.799+
Ryan LeonardWSH · RW
SKATE MPH24.399
Alex OvechkinWSH · LW
SHOT MPH97.399
Ethen FrankWSH · C
BURSTS22797
Jakob ChychrunWSH · D
DIST MI264.495

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-120

Close price

-120

Open no-vig

52.2%

Close no-vig

52.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

NJ vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 117 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Alex OvechkinWSH
3.5± 1.4high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Alex OvechkinWSH
0.5± 1.1high
Tom WilsonWSH
0.5± 0.7high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Jesper BrattNJ
1.0± 1.7high
Alex OvechkinWSH
1.0± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands