
UTA
18-18-3

COL
27-2-7
Historical comparables
Historical comparables
No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.
Recap · NHL
olorado Avalanche held off Utah Mammoth, 1–0.
UTA +1.5 cashed (COL won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 5.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
UTA · top performer

Daniil But
LW · #19
0
G
0
A
—
SOG
COL · top performer

Gavin Brindley
C · #54
0
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Utah Mammoth at Colorado Avalanche · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


UTA
18-18-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
COL
27-2-7
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
6
Season series
COL leads series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
COL -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 9 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
COL beat UTA 1-0.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
UTA won 0 · COL won 1
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 318 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·19:51
Clayton Keller Slap Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·19:36
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·19:36
Icing
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·19:03
Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·19:03
Puck in Netting
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·19:02
Daniil But shot blocked by Devon Toews
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·19:01
Sean Durzi shot blocked by Cale Makar
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·18:56
Dylan Guenther shot blocked by Cale Makar
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·18:48
Nathan MacKinnon hit Dylan Guenther
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·18:47
Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·18:03
Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot saved by Scott Wedgewood
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·18:01
Giveaway by Brock Nelson
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·17:26
John Marino shot blocked by Josh Manson
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·17:23
Giveaway by Josh Manson
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·17:20
Nathan MacKinnon hit Michael Carcone
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·16:57
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Gabriel Landeskog
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·16:57
Goalie Stopped
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·16:53
Valeri Nichushkin Wrist Shot saved by Vitek Vanecek
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·16:39
Jack McBain faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·16:39
Puck Frozen - Goalie
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·15:07
Brock Nelson faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·15:07
Icing
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·14:52
Sean Durzi hit Martin Necas
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·14:46
Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Brock Nelson
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·14:46
Off-side
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·14:24
Giveaway by Samuel Girard
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·13:59
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Gabriel Landeskog
·
UTA 0·COL 1
- 3rd·13:41
Giveaway by Lawson Crouse
UTA 0·COL 1
Team stats
UTA
Away
Stat
COL
Home
32
Shots
26
0.0
PCT
0.0
4
PIM
6
32
Faceoffs W
26
19
Blocks
21
16
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
5
Betting line
COL -1.5·O/U 6.5·UTA +220/COL -270
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 13 skaters with EDGE
Ross ColtonCOL · CSKATE MPH23.799+
Nathan MacKinnonCOL · CBURSTS8799+
Cale MakarCOL · DSKATE MPH23.999+
Gabriel LandeskogCOL · LWSHOT MPH92.897
Parker KellyCOL · CSHOT MPH91.895
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · COL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(COL win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+220
Close price
+220
Open no-vig
30.0%
Close no-vig
30.0%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss