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FINAL+1UTA
WPG

WPG

15-17-3

34
UTA

UTA

18-17-3

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSun, Dec 21FinalSeriesUTA leads series 2-0VegasUTAH -122

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth held off Winnipeg Jets, 4–3 in overtime.

WPG +1.5 cashed (UTA won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WPG · top performer

WPG
Kyle Connor

Kyle Connor

LW · #81

2Points

2

G

0

A

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

UTA
Dylan Guenther

Dylan Guenther

RW · #11

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Winnipeg Jets at Utah Mammoth · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
3
4
WPG15-17-3UTA18-17-3
WPG

WPG

15-17-3

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
UTA

UTA

18-17-3

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

6

Season series

UTA leads series 2-0

Oct 26UTAUTA3@WPGWPG2
Dec 22WPGWPG3@UTAUTA4today
Apr 15WPGWPG3@UTAUTA5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPGWPG+10250%
UTAUTA-12255%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat WPG 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
WPG01203
UTA21014

Period scoring

WPG won 1 · UTA won 2

0
2

1

1
1

2

2
0

3

0
1

OT

WPG
UTA

Play-by-play · 291 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·0:13

    Game End

    WPG 3·UTA 4

  2. OT·0:13

    End of OT

    WPG 3·UTA 4

  3. OT·0:13

    Clayton Keller Goal (12) Snap Shot, assists: Dylan Guenther (14), Mikhail Sergachev (21)

    · ·

    WPG 3·UTA 4

  4. OT·0:00

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Adam Lowry

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  5. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  6. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  7. 3rd·19:57

    Giveaway by Ian Cole

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  8. 3rd·19:17

    Jack McBain shot blocked by Dylan Samberg

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  9. 3rd·19:11

    Liam O'Brien shot blocked by Dylan Samberg

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  10. 3rd·18:59

    Dylan Samberg Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  11. 3rd·17:21

    Mark Scheifele Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  12. 3rd·17:13

    Mark Scheifele hit Barrett Hayton

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  13. 3rd·17:06

    Lawson Crouse Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  14. 3rd·16:21

    Morgan Barron hit Nick DeSimone

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  15. 3rd·16:02

    Adam Lowry faceoff won against Jack McBain

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  16. 3rd·16:02

    Goalie Stopped

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  17. 3rd·16:00

    Nick DeSimone Snap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck

    · ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  18. 3rd·15:48

    Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Vladislav Namestnikov

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  19. 3rd·15:48

    Timeout - Home

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  20. 3rd·15:48

    Morgan Barron Goal (7) Snap Shot, assists: Tanner Pearson (2)

    ·

    WPG 3·UTA 3

  21. 3rd·15:41

    Morgan Barron hit Nick Schmaltz

    ·

    WPG 2·UTA 3

  22. 3rd·15:36

    Takeaway by John Marino

    WPG 2·UTA 3

  23. 3rd·15:29

    Giveaway by John Marino

    WPG 2·UTA 3

  24. 3rd·15:23

    Adam Lowry faceoff won against Jack McBain

    ·

    WPG 2·UTA 3

  25. 3rd·15:23

    Kyle Connor Goal (17) Slap Shot, assists: Josh Morrissey (24), Mark Scheifele (26)

    · ·

    WPG 2·UTA 3

  26. 3rd·15:12

    Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Sean Durzi

    ·

    WPG 1·UTA 3

  27. 3rd·15:08

    Takeaway by Logan Stanley

    WPG 1·UTA 3

  28. 3rd·14:36

    Lawson Crouse hit Mark Scheifele

    ·

    WPG 1·UTA 3

  29. 3rd·14:28

    Giveaway by Lawson Crouse

    WPG 1·UTA 3

  30. 3rd·14:18

    Mark Scheifele faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    WPG 1·UTA 3

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

26

Shots

22

33.3

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

6

27

Faceoffs W

26

15

Blocks

13

11

Giveaways

13

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG +102/UTA -122

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
    DIST MI293.099+
  • Colin MillerWPG · D
    SHOT MPH102.599
  • Morgan BarronWPG · C
    SHOT MPH95.697
  • Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
    DIST MI282.397
  • Logan StanleyBUF · D
    SHOT MPH95.991

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · UTA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-122

Close price

-122

Open no-vig

52.6%

Close no-vig

52.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR