NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2DAL

DAL

23-7-5

17-15-3

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLThu, Dec 18FinalSeriesDAL leads series 2-0VegasDAL -198

Recap · NHL

allas Stars went into San Jose Sharks and beat them, 5–3.

DAL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DAL · top performer

Roope Hintz

C · #24

2Points

—

SOG

SJ · top performer

Macklin Celebrini

C · #71

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

DAL23-7-5

SJ17-15-3

DAL23-7-5SJ17-15-3

DAL

23-7-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

17-15-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

DAL leads series 2-0

Dec 6

SJ1@

DAL4

Dec 19

DAL5@

SJ3today

Jan 10

DAL4@

SJ5

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL-19866%

SJ+16438%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DAL beat SJ 5-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DAL	2	2	1	5
SJ	0	2	1	3

Period scoring

DAL won 1 · SJ won 0

DAL

Play-by-play · 342 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·19:58
William Eklund shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
·
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·19:57
Alexander Wennberg shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
·
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·19:34
Colin Blackwell faceoff won against Alexander Wennberg
·
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·19:34
Goalie Stopped
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·19:30
Macklin Celebrini Snap Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·19:23
Macklin Celebrini Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·18:53
Giveaway by Shakir Mukhamadullin
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·18:42
Mavrik Bourque faceoff won against Ty Dellandrea
·
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·18:42
Jamie Benn Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: none
DAL 5·SJ 3
3rd·18:37
Macklin Celebrini Slap Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·18:30
William Eklund Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·18:15
Giveaway by Tyler Toffoli
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·18:06
Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Jason Robertson
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·18:04
Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Roope Hintz
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·18:04
Goalie Stopped
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·18:03
William Eklund Backhand saved by Jake Oettinger
· ·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·17:46
Matt Duchene shot blocked by John Klingberg
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·17:40
Tyler Toffoli shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·17:20
Matt Duchene faceoff won against Alexander Wennberg
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·17:20
Off-side
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·17:11
John Klingberg shot blocked by Esa Lindell
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·16:59
Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·16:55
Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·16:12
Alexander Wennberg Deflected saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·16:10
John Klingberg Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·16:05
Alexander Wennberg faceoff won against Mavrik Bourque
·
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·16:05
Icing
DAL 4·SJ 3
3rd·15:19
Jason Robertson Wrist Shot saved by Alex Nedeljkovic
·
DAL 4·SJ 3

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

100.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 5.5·DAL -198/SJ +164

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

2 of 16 skaters with EDGE

Roope HintzDAL · C
BURSTS25998
Timothy LiljegrenWSH · D
SKATE MPH22.685

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+164

Close price

+164

Open no-vig

36.3%

Close no-vig

36.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

SJ vs DAL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 141 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jason RobertsonDAL
3.9± 2.0high
Macklin CelebriniSJ
3.4± 1.1high
Wyatt JohnstonDAL
2.7± 1.8high

Goals

Jason RobertsonDAL
0.8± 0.6high
Wyatt JohnstonDAL
0.6± 0.7high
Macklin CelebriniSJ
0.6± 0.8high

Points

Macklin CelebriniSJ
1.4± 1.4high
Jason RobertsonDAL
1.3± 0.9high
Matt DucheneDAL
1.2± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands