Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+2COL
COL

COL

24-2-7

53
SEA

SEA

12-13-6

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLTue, Dec 16FinalSeriesCOL leads series 1-0VegasCOL -325

Recap · NHL

olorado Avalanche went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 5–3.

COL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

COL · top performer

COL
Nathan MacKinnon

Nathan MacKinnon

C · #29

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

SEA
Matty Beniers

Matty Beniers

C · #10

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
3
COL24-2-7SEA12-13-6
COL

COL

24-2-7

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
SEA

SEA

12-13-6

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

16

PIM

16

Season series

COL leads series 1-0

Dec 17COLCOL5@SEASEA3today
Mar 13COLCOL5@SEASEA1
Apr 17SEASEA0@COLCOL2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

COL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

COLCOL-32576%
SEASEA+26028%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet COL -1.5↗SpreadBet COL -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

COL beat SEA 5-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
COL1135
SEA0303

Period scoring

COL won 2 · SEA won 1

1
0

1

1
3

2

3
0

3

COL
SEA

Play-by-play · 363 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    COL 5·SEA 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    COL 5·SEA 3

  3. 3rd·19:36

    Jack Drury faceoff won against Ben Meyers

    ·

    COL 5·SEA 3

  4. 3rd·19:36

    Nathan MacKinnon Goal (28) Backhand, assists: Valeri Nichushkin (10), Gabriel Landeskog (10)

    · ·

    COL 5·SEA 3

  5. 3rd·19:23

    Jordan Eberle Tip-In saved by Mackenzie Blackwood

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  6. 3rd·18:46

    Gabriel Landeskog shot blocked by Vince Dunn

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  7. 3rd·18:41

    Martin Necas Wrist Shot Wide Left

    COL 4·SEA 3

  8. 3rd·18:25

    Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  9. 3rd·18:25

    Icing

    COL 4·SEA 3

  10. 3rd·18:16

    Giveaway by Brent Burns

    COL 4·SEA 3

  11. 3rd·17:55

    Artturi Lehkonen Backhand saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  12. 3rd·17:44

    Josh Manson hit Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  13. 3rd·17:34

    Chandler Stephenson Snap Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  14. 3rd·16:26

    Takeaway by Jack Drury

    COL 4·SEA 3

  15. 3rd·16:15

    Gabriel Landeskog hit Jordan Eberle

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  16. 3rd·16:03

    Brock Nelson Tip-In saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  17. 3rd·15:50

    Brock Nelson faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  18. 3rd·15:50

    Goalie Stopped

    COL 4·SEA 3

  19. 3rd·15:49

    Adam Larsson Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  20. 3rd·14:56

    Ross Colton Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  21. 3rd·14:43

    Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Ryker Evans

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  22. 3rd·14:25

    Ross Colton faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  23. 3rd·14:25

    Goalie Stopped

    COL 4·SEA 3

  24. 3rd·14:23

    Samuel Girard Backhand saved by Philipp Grubauer

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  25. 3rd·14:05

    Nathan MacKinnon hit Matty Beniers

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  26. 3rd·13:33

    Jani Nyman Tip-In saved by Mackenzie Blackwood

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  27. 3rd·13:26

    Shane Wright Wrist Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  28. 3rd·13:24

    Jani Nyman Wrist Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  29. 3rd·13:22

    Jani Nyman shot blocked by Cale Makar

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

  30. 3rd·12:45

    Ryan Lindgren Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    COL 4·SEA 3

Team stats

COL

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

39

Shots

38

25.0

PCT

25.0

16

PIM

16

31

Faceoffs W

31

14

Blocks

26

13

Giveaways

19

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

COL -1.5·O/U 5.5·COL -325/SEA +260

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Ross ColtonCOL · C
    SKATE MPH23.799+
  • Nathan MacKinnonCOL · C
    BURSTS8799+
  • Cale MakarCOL · D
    SKATE MPH23.999+
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+260

Close price

+260

Open no-vig

26.6%

Close no-vig

26.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR