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FINAL+3NSH
NSH

NSH

13-15-4

52
STL

STL

12-15-7

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 15FinalSeriesNSH leads series 2-0VegasSTL -110

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into St. Louis Blues and beat them, 5–2.

NSH +1.5 cashed (STL lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Filip Forsberg

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

3Points

3

G

0

A

—

SOG

STL · top performer

STL
Dalibor Dvorsky

Dalibor Dvorsky

RW · #54

2Points

2

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
2
NSH13-15-4STL12-15-7
NSH

NSH

13-15-4

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
STL

STL

12-15-7

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

15

PIM

17

Season series

NSH leads series 2-0

Dec 12STLSTL2@NSHNSH7
Dec 16NSHNSH5@STLSTL2today
Dec 28NSHNSH2@STLSTL3
Feb 3STLSTL5@NSHNSH6

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

STL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH-11052%
STLSTL-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet STL -1.5↗SpreadBet STL -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat STL 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NSH1315
STL1012

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · STL won 0

1
1

1

3
0

2

1
1

3

NSH
STL

Play-by-play · 265 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NSH 5·STL 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 5·STL 2

  3. 3rd·19:49

    Hugh McGing faceoff won against Tyson Jost

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  4. 3rd·19:49

    Icing

    NSH 5·STL 2

  5. 3rd·19:39

    Erik Haula shot blocked by Justin Faulk

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  6. 3rd·18:20

    Dalibor Dvorsky Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  7. 3rd·17:31

    Pavel Buchnevich Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  8. 3rd·17:12

    Robert Thomas faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  9. 3rd·17:12

    TV Timeout

    NSH 5·STL 2

  10. 3rd·17:12

    Nicolas Hague Interference against Robby Fabbri

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  11. 3rd·16:51

    Mathieu Joseph Backhand saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  12. 3rd·16:49

    Alexey Toropchenko shot blocked by Nick Perbix

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  13. 3rd·16:18

    Cam Fowler hit Tyson Jost

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  14. 3rd·16:09

    Michael McCarron faceoff won against Mathieu Joseph

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  15. 3rd·16:09

    Filip Forsberg Goal (14) Wrist Shot, assists: Ryan O'Reilly (16)

    ·

    NSH 5·STL 2

  16. 3rd·15:18

    Michael Bunting Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  17. 3rd·13:58

    Takeaway by Luke Evangelista

    NSH 4·STL 2

  18. 3rd·13:46

    Justin Faulk hit Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  19. 3rd·11:31

    Takeaway by Ryan O'Reilly

    NSH 4·STL 2

  20. 3rd·11:19

    Giveaway by Robby Fabbri

    NSH 4·STL 2

  21. 3rd·11:02

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Brayden Schenn

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  22. 3rd·11:02

    Icing

    NSH 4·STL 2

  23. 3rd·10:56

    Ryan O'Reilly faceoff won against Robert Thomas

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  24. 3rd·10:56

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 4·STL 2

  25. 3rd·10:53

    Hugh McGing Tip-In saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  26. 3rd·10:50

    Pius Suter Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  27. 3rd·10:33

    Alexey Toropchenko shot blocked by Michael McCarron

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  28. 3rd·10:18

    Roman Josi hit Alexey Toropchenko

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  29. 3rd·9:53

    Michael McCarron faceoff won against Oskar Sundqvist

    ·

    NSH 4·STL 2

  30. 3rd·9:53

    Puck in Crowd

    NSH 4·STL 2

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

STL

Home

26

Shots

22

25.0

PCT

33.3

15

PIM

17

32

Faceoffs W

17

7

Blocks

11

13

Giveaways

10

6

Takeaways

2

Betting line

STL -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH -110/STL -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Philip BrobergSTL · D
    BURSTS15898
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Colton ParaykoSTL · D
    BURSTS9494

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · STL favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-110

Close price

-110

Open no-vig

50.0%

Close no-vig

50.0%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR