Wisconsin Badgers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
WIS
ND
Preview · NCAAF
isconsin Badgers visit Notre Dame Fighting Irish Sunday at 9/6 - 7:30 PM EDT.
Vegas opened ND as a 20.5-point favorite with the total at 47.5. ND's moneyline implies a 95% break-even, WIS the inverse.
For bettors: the ND side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 47.5 total reads defensive vs the league average.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
ND -20.5
Between 14 and —
Total
47.5
Defensive · -3.5 vs avg
Moneyline
WIS+11008%ND-210095%300· 287h
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
20.5
0.0 since open
Total
47.5
0.0 since open
Betting line
ND -20.5·O/U 47.5·WIS +1100/ND -2100
SP+ matchup · 2025
Bill Connelly's SP+ ratings
cfbfastR
WIS
league avg
ND
-4.4
SP+ composite
+0.0
▶+24.4
17.4
Offense rating
28.0
▶40.0
20.9
Defense rating
28.0
▶16.3
-0.9
Special teams
+0.0
▶+0.8