College basketball game · live box score, efficiency matchup · The One Analytics

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KeyBank Center · Buffalo, NY

17,499 attended

FINAL+8MSU

LOU

24-11

6977

MSU

27-7

NCAABSat, Mar 21FinalVegasMSU -5.5

LOU · top performer

Adrian Wooley

G · #14

15.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

MSU · top performer

Coen Carr

F · #55

19.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowLOU ↔ MSU

Biggest swing: 17pp · 2nd Half · 11:06

NCAAB · Box score

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
V. ZougrisF · #53	14	8	4-5	—	—	2	0
A. WooleyG · #14	26	17	7-10	3-6	—	4	3
R. ConwellG · #3	34	21	7-15	5-11	2-4	4	4
I. McKneelyG · #10	35	9	3-9	3-7	—	4	2
J. HadleyG · #1	30	2	1-8	0-4	—	3	4
Bench
S. FruF · #13	18	2	1-3	—	—	6	1
K. RoothsF · #9	4	0	0-2	0-2	—	1	1
K. PryorF · #7	1	0	0-1	—	—	0	0
A. KhalifaC · #15	14	8	3-7	2-6	—	1	0
K. RodgersG · #11	24	2	0-3	0-1	2-2	4	1
Team		69	26-63	13-37	4-6	32	16
DNP: M. Camara, W. Hanke, C. Sherman, S. Legg, L. Johnson, M. Brown Jr.

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. ScottF · #6	20	4	2-4	0-1	—	2	1
J. KohlerF · #0	28	10	3-9	2-7	2-2	6	1
C. CarrF · #55	33	21	8-13	2-4	3-5	10	0
C. CooperC · #15	30	9	4-6	1-1	—	5	1
J. Fears Jr.G · #1	37	12	3-13	1-4	5-7	3	16
Bench
C. WardF · #3	17	2	1-1	—	—	2	1
K. TengG · #2	13	7	2-4	2-4	1-2	1	1
T. FortG · #9	19	12	3-5	3-5	3-3	5	1
D. WojcikG · #10	3	0	—	—	—	0	0
Team		77	26-55	11-26	14-19	39	22
DNP: C. Walton, B. Walton, J. McCulloch, K. Glenn, N. Sanders, D. Ugochukwu

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

LOU

Away

Stat

MSU

Home

26-63

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

26-55

FG %

13-37

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

11-26

4-6

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

14-19

Assists

Turnovers

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MSU -5.5

Half-pt above key 5

Total

151.5

High-scoring · +6.5 vs avg

Moneyline

LOU+21532%

MSU-26573%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MSU -5.5↗SpreadBet MSU -5.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

5.5

0.0 since open

Total

151.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MSU beat LOU 77-69. C. Carr led with 21 PTS, 10 REB, 0 AST.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

MSU vs LOU

Starters vs bench

production by unit

LOUstarters 83% of pts

Starters(5)

57 PTS · 17 REB · 13 AST

GS 41

Bench(5)

12 PTS · 12 REB · 3 AST

GS 6

MSUstarters 73% of pts

Starters(5)

56 PTS · 26 REB · 19 AST

GS 46

Bench(4)

21 PTS · 8 REB · 3 AST

GS 19

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

MSU2nd Half · 11:17 · 47-53

+9pp→ 73% WP

Trey Fort · makes 28-foot three point jumper (Jeremy Fears Jr. assists)

MSU2nd Half · 11:06 · 47-53

+17pp→ 77% WP

Ryan Conwell · misses 30-foot three point jumper

LOU2nd Half · 8:20 · 50-55

+9pp→ 21% WP

Adrian Wooley · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ryan Conwell assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	T
LOU	31	38	69
MSU	36	41	77

Period scoring

LOU won 0 · MSU won 2

Conwell 9

Jr. 8

Conwell 12

Carr 14

LOU

MSU

Shooting comparison

LOU

MSU

41%

26-63

47%

26-55

35%

13-37

3PT

42%

11-26

67%

4-6

74%

14-19

Play-by-play · 492 plays

period

event

player

H2·0:00
End of Game
LOU 69·MSU 77
H2·0:00
End of 2nd half
LOU 69·MSU 77
H2·0:00
Khani Rooths Offensive Rebound.
LOU 69·MSU 77
H2·0:01
Ryan Conwell misses 28-foot three point jumper
LOU 69·MSU 77
H2·0:07
Carson Cooper makes 1-foot dunk (Jeremy Fears Jr. assists)
·
LOU 69·MSU 77
+1pp
H2·0:11
Khani Rooths subbing in for Louisville
LOU 69·MSU 75
H2·0:11
Aly Khalifa subbing out for Louisville
LOU 69·MSU 75
−1pp
H2·0:11
Louisville Timeout
LOU 69·MSU 75
H2·0:11
J'Vonne Hadley makes layup (Ryan Conwell assists)
·
LOU 69·MSU 75
H2·0:17
J'Vonne Hadley Defensive Rebound.
LOU 67·MSU 75
H2·0:18
Coen Carr misses free throw 2 of 2
LOU 67·MSU 75
H2·0:18
Michigan State Deadball Team Rebound.
LOU 67·MSU 75
H2·0:18
Coen Carr misses free throw 1 of 2
LOU 67·MSU 75
H2·0:18
Foul on Adrian Wooley.
LOU 67·MSU 75
H2·0:21
Ryan Conwell makes 27-foot three point jumper (Adrian Wooley assists)
·
LOU 67·MSU 75
H2·0:24
Jordan Scott bad pass turnover
LOU 64·MSU 75
H2·0:27
Jordan Scott Defensive Rebound.
LOU 64·MSU 75
H2·0:31
Ryan Conwell misses 30-foot three point pullup jump shot
LOU 64·MSU 75
H2·0:35
Jeremy Fears Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
LOU 64·MSU 75
H2·0:35
Aly Khalifa subbing in for Louisville
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:35
Khani Rooths subbing out for Louisville
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:35
Michigan State Deadball Team Rebound.
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:35
Jeremy Fears Jr. misses free throw 1 of 2
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:35
Foul on Isaac McKneely.
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:43
Khani Rooths subbing in for Louisville
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:43
Aly Khalifa subbing out for Louisville
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:43
Jordan Scott subbing in for Michigan State
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:43
Jaxon Kohler subbing out for Michigan State
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:43
Michigan State Timeout
LOU 64·MSU 74
H2·0:49
Adrian Wooley makes driving layup
LOU 64·MSU 74

Betting line

MSU -5.5·O/U 151.5·LOU +215/MSU -265

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NCAAB

ichigan State Spartans held off Louisville Cardinals, 77–69.

MSU -5.5 cashed (won by 8). Total stayed UNDER 151.5 by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page