Matchup orbital
1
CIN
CIN
20-12
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
9
PIT
PIT
17-16
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
PIT wins
CIN 1 · PIT 9 (by 8)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked PIT +0pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| PIT | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
CIN20-12
CIN
17-16PIT
PIT
Recap · MLB
ittsburgh Pirates held off Cincinnati Reds, 9–1. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
PIT -1.5 cashed (won by 8). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 2.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
PIT leads series 1-0
CIN1@PIT9todayCIN@PITCIN@PITupcomingSeason series
PIT leads series 3-1
PIT0@CIN2PIT8@CIN3PIT8@CIN3CIN1@PIT9todayCIN@PITCIN@PITupcomingCIN@PITupcomingCIN@PITupcomingCIN@PITupcomingPIT@CINupcomingPIT@CINupcomingPIT@CINupcomingPIT@CINupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PIT -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CIN+11746%PIT-14159%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 14 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 10pp · Bottom 1st Inning
CIN
S. Steer
LFBatter of the game
1-for-2 · 1.167 OPS
B. Singer
SPStarting pitcher
3.1 IP · 1 K · 4 ER · 7 H · 2 BB
PIT
H. Davis
CBatter of the game2-HR game
2-for-3 · 2 HR · 3.417 OPS
M. Keller
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
7.0 IP · 6 K · 1 ER · 3 H · 1 BB
How it ended
PIT beat CIN 9-1.
Win probability
PIT vs CIN
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactReynolds · homered to center (443 feet).
Reynolds · tripled to center, Davis scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| PIT | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 |
Period scoring
CIN won 0 · PIT won 4
Inn 1
Reynolds 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Reynolds 1
Inn 4
Davis 1
Inn 5
Ozuna 2
Inn 6
Cruz 1
Griffin 1
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- B4
Davis homered to center (415 feet).
CIN 0·PIT 4
+4pp
- B3
O'Hearn singled to right, Reynolds scored.
CIN 0·PIT 3
+6pp
- B3
Reynolds tripled to center, Davis scored.
CIN 0·PIT 2
+9pp
- T3
McLain struck out swinging.
CIN 0·PIT 1
+5pp
- T3
Bleday safe at first on throwing error by second baseman Lowe.
CIN 0·PIT 1
−6pp
- B1
Reynolds homered to center (443 feet).
CIN 0·PIT 1
+10pp
Team stats
CIN
Away
Stat
PIT
Home
3
Hits
12
0
Errors
1
1
Runs
9
Player box score
CIN
20-12
T. Friedl★
CF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
M. McLain★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. De La Cruz★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
S. Stewart★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
N. Lowe★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
S. Steer★
LF
OPS
1.167
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Bleday★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Stephenson★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Hayes★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Hinds
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
3-31
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Friedl★CF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
M. McLain★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
E. De La Cruz★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
S. Stewart★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
N. Lowe★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
S. Steer★LF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.167 |
J. Bleday★LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
T. Stephenson★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
K. Hayes★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
R. HindsRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 3-31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
B. Singer★
SP
IP
3.1
H
7
ER
4
K
1
Z. Maxwell
UN
IP
1.0
H
3
ER
4
K
1
S. Moll
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
1
P. Johnson
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
1
K
0
L. Mey
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
J. Trevino
C
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
8.0
H
12
ER
9
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Singer★SP | 3.1 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
Z. MaxwellUN | 1.0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
S. MollRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
P. JohnsonRP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
L. MeyRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
J. TrevinoC | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 8.0 | 12 | 9 | 5 |
PIT
17-16
O. Cruz★
CF
OPS
0.400
H-AB
1-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Lowe★
2B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
B. Reynolds★
LF
OPS
1.850
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
R. O'Hearn★
RF
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
N. Gonzales★
3B
OPS
1.550
H-AB
3-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Ozuna★
DH
OPS
1.400
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
S. Horwitz★
1B
OPS
0.400
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Griffin★
SS
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
H. Davis★
C
OPS
3.417
H-AB
2-3
R
3
RBI
3
HR
2
H-AB
12-36
R
9
RBI
9
HR
4
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
O. Cruz★CF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
B. Lowe★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
B. Reynolds★LF | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1.850 |
R. O'Hearn★RF | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.800 |
N. Gonzales★3B | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.550 |
M. Ozuna★DH | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.400 |
S. Horwitz★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.400 |
K. Griffin★SS | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.650 |
H. Davis★C | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3.417 |
| Team | 12-36 | 9 | 9 | 4 | — |
M. Keller★
SP
IP
7.0
H
3
ER
1
K
6
J. Lawrence
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
E. Sisk
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
9.0
H
3
ER
1
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Keller★SP | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
J. LawrenceRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
E. SiskRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
Betting line
PIT -1.5·O/U 8·CIN +117/PIT -141