Matchup orbital
5
BOS
BOS
12-17
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
0
TOR
TOR
12-16
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
BOS wins
BOS 5 · TOR 0 (by 5)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked TOR +4pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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BOS12-17
BOS
12-16TOR
TOR
Recap · MLB
oston Red Sox went into Toronto Blue Jays and beat them, 5–0.
BOS +1.5 cashed (TOR lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 7.0 by 2.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
TOR wins series 2-1
BOS5@TOR0todayBOS0@TOR3BOS1@TOR8Season series
BOS leads series 1-0
BOS5@TOR0todayBOS0@TOR3BOS1@TOR8TOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingTOR@BOSupcomingBOS@TORupcomingBOS@TORupcomingBOS@TORupcomingBOS@TORupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TOR -1.5
Total
7.0
Defensive · -1.5 vs avg
Moneyline
BOS+11347%TOR-13658%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 2 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 14pp · Top 4th Inning
BOS
M. Mayer
2BBatter of the game
2-for-3 · 1 R · 1.417 OPS
R. Suarez
SPStarting pitcherGem
8.0 IP · 10 K · 0 ER · 1 H · 1 BB
TOR
D. Varsho
CFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS
D. Cease
SPStarting pitcher
5.2 IP · 5 K · 4 ER · 7 H · 3 BB
How it ended
BOS beat TOR 5-0.
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
TOR vs BOS
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactContreras · singled to right.
Mayer · singled to center, Contreras scored, Abreu to third.
Anthony · reached on infield single to first, Duran scored, Contreras to third.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Period scoring
BOS won 4 · TOR won 0
Inn 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Mayer 1
Inn 5
Anthony 1
Inn 6
Durbin 1
Inn 7
Inn 8
Narv 1
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- T6
Durbin singled to left, Mayer scored.
BOS 4·TOR 0
−5pp
- T5
Abreu doubled to right, Contreras scored, Anthony to third.
BOS 3·TOR 0
−8pp
- T5
Anthony reached on infield single to first, Duran scored, Contreras to third.
BOS 2·TOR 0
−11pp
- T4
Mayer singled to center, Contreras scored, Abreu to third.
BOS 1·TOR 0
−14pp
- T4
Story fouled out to catcher.
BOS 0·TOR 0
+5pp
- T4
Contreras singled to right.
BOS 0·TOR 0
−10pp
Team stats
BOS
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
9
Hits
2
0
Errors
1
5
Runs
0
Player box score
BOS
12-17
J. Duran★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
W. Contreras★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Anthony★
LF
OPS
0.650
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
W. Abreu★
RF
OPS
1.100
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
T. Story★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Mayer★
2B
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
C. Rafaela★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Narvaez★
C
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
C. Durbin★
3B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
9-35
R
5
RBI
5
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Duran★LF | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
W. Contreras★1B | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. Anthony★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.650 |
W. Abreu★RF | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.100 |
T. Story★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
M. Mayer★2B | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.417 |
C. Rafaela★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
C. Narvaez★C | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
C. Durbin★3B | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.833 |
| Team | 9-35 | 5 | 5 | 1 | — |
R. Suarez★
SP
IP
8.0
H
1
ER
0
K
10
G. Weissert
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
2
ER
0
K
10
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Suarez★SP | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
G. WeissertRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
TOR
12-16
M. Straw★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Clement★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
V. Guerrero Jr.★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Okamoto★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Sosa★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
E. Jimenez★
DH
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Sanchez★
LF
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Schneider★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Heineman★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Varsho
CF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
Y. Pinango
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
2-28
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Straw★RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
E. Clement★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
V. Guerrero Jr.★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
K. Okamoto★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
L. Sosa★2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
E. Jimenez★DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Sanchez★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
D. Schneider★LF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
T. Heineman★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
D. VarshoCF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
Y. PinangoLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 2-28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
D. Cease★
SP
IP
5.2
H
7
ER
4
K
5
J. Mantiply
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
C. Lee
RP
IP
1.1
H
1
ER
1
K
1
T. Nance
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
5
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Cease★SP | 5.2 | 7 | 4 | 5 |
J. MantiplyRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
C. LeeRP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
T. NanceRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
Betting line
TOR -1.5·O/U 7·BOS +113/TOR -136