Matchup orbital
4
WSH
WSH
11-16
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
5
CHW
CHW
11-15
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CHW wins
WSH 4 · CHW 5 (by 1)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked CHW +4pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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WSH11-16
WSH
11-15CHW
CHW
Recap · MLB
hicago White Sox held off Washington Nationals, 5–4. It came down to the final possession.
WSH +1.5 cashed (CHW won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 9.5 by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
WSH wins series 2-1
WSH4@CHW5todayWSH6@CHW3WSH2@CHW1Season series
CHW lead series 1-0
WSH4@CHW5todayWSH6@CHW3WSH2@CHW1Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CHW -1.5
Total
9.5
High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
WSH+10948%CHW-13257%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
9.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 24pp · Bottom 7th Inning
WSH
L. Garcia Jr.
1BBatter of the game
2-for-3 · 1 R · 1.333 OPS
M. Mikolas
SPTop reliever
3.2 IP · 1 K · 2 ER · 4 H
CHW
E. Pereira
RFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS
E. Fedde
SPTop reliever
5.2 IP · 1 K · 1 ER · 3 H · 4 BB
How it ended
CHW beat WSH 5-4. Peters's play in the bottom 7th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (24pp).
Win probability
CHW vs WSH
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactMurakami · homered to center (415 feet).
Peters · reached on bunt single to pitcher, Antonacci scored on throwing error by pitcher Cornelio, Acuña safe at third on error.
House · homered to right center (374 feet).
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| CHW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 5 |
Period scoring
WSH won 2 · CHW won 3
Inn 1
Inn 2
Garc 1
Inn 3
Inn 4
Murakami 1
Inn 5
Lile 1
Inn 6
Montgomery 1
Inn 7
Peters 1
Inn 8
House 1
Antonacci 1
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- T9
Wood struck out swinging.
WSH 4·CHW 5
+13pp
- T9
García Jr. doubled to center.
WSH 4·CHW 5
−11pp
- T8
House homered to right center (374 feet).
WSH 4·CHW 4
−22pp
- B7
Peters reached on bunt single to pitcher, Antonacci scored on throwing error by pitcher Cornelio, Acuña safe at third on error.
WSH 3·CHW 3
+24pp
- B6
Montgomery singled to right, Benintendi scored, Murakami to third.
WSH 3·CHW 2
+13pp
- B4
Murakami homered to center (415 feet).
WSH 1·CHW 1
+14pp
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
CHW
Home
6
Hits
8
1
Errors
2
4
Runs
5
Player box score
WSH
11-16
J. Wood★
RF
OPS
0.600
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Lile★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
B. House★
3B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
C. Abrams★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Young★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Vivas★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
N. Nunez★
2B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Garcia Jr.★
1B
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
D. Millas★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Tena
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
6-30
R
4
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Wood★RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.600 |
D. Lile★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.833 |
B. House★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.250 |
C. Abrams★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Young★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Vivas★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
N. Nunez★2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
L. Garcia Jr.★1B | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.333 |
D. Millas★C | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Tena2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 6-30 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
P. Poulin★
RP
IP
1.2
H
1
ER
0
K
1
M. Mikolas
SP
IP
3.2
H
4
ER
2
K
1
R. Lovelady
RP
IP
0.2
H
1
ER
0
K
0
R. Cornelio
SP
IP
2.0
H
2
ER
2
K
1
IP
8.0
H
8
ER
4
K
3
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
P. Poulin★RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
M. MikolasSP | 3.2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
R. LoveladyRP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
R. CornelioSP | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Team | 8.0 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
CHW
11-15
E. Pereira★
RF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Meidroth★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Murakami★
1B
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
M. Vargas★
3B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Montgomery★
SS
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
E. Quero★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
S. Antonacci★
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
L. Acuna★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Peters★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Benintendi
LF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
8-27
R
5
RBI
4
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
E. Pereira★RF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
C. Meidroth★2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
M. Murakami★1B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
M. Vargas★3B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
C. Montgomery★SS | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.833 |
E. Quero★C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
S. Antonacci★LF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.000 |
L. Acuna★CF | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
T. Peters★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
A. BenintendiLF | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Team | 8-27 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — |
B. Hudson★
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
E. Fedde
SP
IP
5.2
H
3
ER
1
K
1
S. Newcomb
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
1
J. Leasure
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
1
K
1
S. Dominguez
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
IP
9.0
H
6
ER
2
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Hudson★RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
E. FeddeSP | 5.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
S. NewcombRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
J. LeasureRP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
S. DominguezRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
Betting line
CHW -1.5·O/U 9.5·WSH +109/CHW -132