Matchup orbital

8
ATH
ATH
14-12
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME

1
TEX
TEX
13-13
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATH wins
ATH 8 · TEX 1 (by 7)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked TEX +5pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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ATH14-12
ATH
13-13TEX
TEX

Recap · MLB
thletics went into Texas Rangers and beat them, 8–1. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ATH +1.5 cashed (TEX lost outright). Total cleared the 8.0 OVER by 1.0.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page


Current series
ATH wins series 2-1
ATH8@
TEX1today
ATH3@
TEX4
ATH2@
TEX1Season series
ATH leads series 3-2
TEX8@
ATH1
TEX1@
ATH2
TEX5@
ATH6
TEX9@
ATH6
ATH8@
TEX1today
ATH3@
TEX4
ATH2@
TEX1
TEX@
ATHupcoming
TEX@
ATHupcoming
TEX@
ATHupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcoming
ATH@
TEXupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TEX -1.5
Total
8.0
Defensive · -0.5 vs avg
Moneyline
ATH+11746%
TEX-14159%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.0
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 22pp · Top 5th Inning
ATH
C. Cortes
RFBatter of the game2-HR game
2-for-4 · 2 HR · 2.500 OPS

L. Severino
SPStarting pitcherQuality start
6.2 IP · 5 K · 1 ER · 6 H · 1 BB
TEX
A. McCutchen
LFBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

N. Eovaldi
SPStarting pitcher
6.0 IP · 3 K · 6 ER · 6 H · 1 BB
How it ended
ATH beat TEX 8-1. Cortes's play in the top 5th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (22pp).
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
TEX vs ATH
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCortes · homered to right center (390 feet).
Jung · hit a ground rule double, Seager scored.
Cortes · homered to right (409 feet), Gelof scored and Kurtz scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
ATH won 3 · TEX won 1
Inn 1
Cortes 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Jung 1
Inn 5
Cortes 3
Inn 6
Inn 7
Inn 8
Inn 9
Gelof 2
Game flow · key plays
Cortes homered to right (409 feet), Gelof scored and Kurtz scored.
ATH 6·TEX 1
−22pp
Jung hit a ground rule double, Seager scored.
ATH 3·TEX 1
+12pp
Seager doubled to right.
ATH 3·TEX 0
+5pp
Butler grounded out to first.
ATH 3·TEX 0
−5pp
Soderstrom homered to center (415 feet).
ATH 3·TEX 0
−10pp
Cortes homered to right center (390 feet).
ATH 2·TEX 0
−11pp
Team stats
ATH
Away
Stat
TEX
Home
9
Hits
8
0
Errors
0
8
Runs
1
Player box score

ATH
14-12

N. Kurtz★
1B
OPS
1.850
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1

S. Langeliers★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Cortes★
RF
OPS
2.500
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
4
HR
2

T. Soderstrom★
LF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1

J. Wilson★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. McNeil★
2B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

M. Muncy★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

L. Butler★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

Z. Gelof★
CF
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
2
RBI
2
HR
1
H-AB
9-36
R
8
RBI
8
HR
5
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() N. Kurtz★1B | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.850 |
![]() S. Langeliers★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() C. Cortes★RF | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2.500 |
![]() T. Soderstrom★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
![]() J. Wilson★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. McNeil★2B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() M. Muncy★3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() L. Butler★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() Z. Gelof★CF | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1.750 |
| Team | 9-36 | 8 | 8 | 5 | — |

L. Severino★
SP
IP
6.2
H
6
ER
1
K
5

H. Harris
RP
IP
0.2
H
2
ER
0
K
2

J. Sterner
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
0

L. Medina
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
8
ER
1
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() L. Severino★SP | 6.2 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
![]() H. HarrisRP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
![]() J. SternerRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() L. MedinaRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 8 | 1 | 7 |

TEX
13-13

B. Nimmo★
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Pederson★
1B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

C. Seager★
SS
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Burger★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Jung★
3B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0

E. Carter★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

K. Higashioka★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

J. Smith★
2B
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. Osuna★
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

A. McCutchen
LF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0

S. Haggerty
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-34
R
1
RBI
1
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() B. Nimmo★RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Pederson★1B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
![]() C. Seager★SS | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
![]() J. Burger★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Jung★3B | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() E. Carter★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
![]() K. Higashioka★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() J. Smith★2B | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.417 |
![]() A. Osuna★LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
![]() A. McCutchenLF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
![]() S. HaggertyLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 8-34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |

N. Eovaldi★
SP
IP
6.0
H
6
ER
6
K
3

C. Quantrill
RP
IP
3.0
H
3
ER
2
K
2
IP
9.0
H
9
ER
8
K
5
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() N. Eovaldi★SP | 6.0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
![]() C. QuantrillRP | 3.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Team | 9.0 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
Betting line
TEX -1.5·O/U 8·ATH +117/TEX -141